Why this pick: West Ham vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (West Ham 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
West HamAston Villa
1.06
xG per 90
1.50
1.06
npxG per 90
1.50
16.6
PPDA
13.7
4.3
Deep completions per 90
7.2
0.83
xPTS per 90
1.41
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
West Ham and Aston Villa recent form
West Ham
2W 3D 1L
Aston Villa
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
West Ham at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 2.43
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: West Ham at home only, Aston Villa away only.
West Ham vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: West Ham 0 · draws 2 · Aston Villa 3.
0%
40%
60%
West HamDrawsAston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | Aston Villa | 1-1 | West Ham | Premier League |
| 2025-01-10 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | West Ham | England FA Cup |
| 2024-08-17 | West Ham | 1-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-03-17 | West Ham | 1-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-10-22 | Aston Villa | 4-1 | West Ham | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- West Ham, previous: Brighton vs West Ham prediction
- West Ham, next: Manchester City vs West Ham prediction
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa – Arsenal, 2025-12-06
- Aston Villa, next: Aston Villa – Manchester United, 2025-12-21