Why this pick: Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Aston Villa 10, Arsenal 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Aston VillaArsenal
1.32
xG per 90
1.98
1.32
npxG per 90
1.90
13.0
PPDA
10.3
7.7
Deep completions per 90
10.3
1.35
xPTS per 90
2.25
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Aston Villa and Arsenal recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aston Villa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
Arsenal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
League matches this season before kick-off: Aston Villa at home only, Arsenal away only.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Aston Villa 2 · draws 1 · Arsenal 5.
25%
12%
63%
Aston VillaDrawsArsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | Arsenal | 2-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-08-24 | Aston Villa | 0-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2024-04-14 | Arsenal | 0-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-12-09 | Aston Villa | 1-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2023-02-18 | Aston Villa | 2-4 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2022-08-31 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2022-03-19 | Aston Villa | 0-1 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2021-10-22 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Aston Villa, previous: Brighton vs Aston Villa: odds and pick
- Aston Villa, next: West Ham v Aston Villa analysis
- Arsenal, previous: Arsenal v Brentford analysis
- Arsenal, next: Arsenal v Wolverhampton Wanderers analysis