Why this pick: AC Milan vs Atalanta
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (AC Milan 10, Atalanta 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AC MilanAtalanta
1.31
xG per 90
1.81
1.31
npxG per 90
1.81
15.1
PPDA
10.0
8.7
Deep completions per 90
12.2
1.40
xPTS per 90
1.73
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
AC Milan and Atalanta recent form
AC Milan
2W 1D 3L
Atalanta
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AC Milan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-5-3
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
Atalanta away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
League matches this season before kick-off: AC Milan at home only, Atalanta away only.
AC Milan vs Atalanta head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: AC Milan 2 · draws 3 · Atalanta 4.
22%
33%
45%
AC MilanDrawsAtalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | Atalanta | 1-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2025-04-20 | AC Milan | 0-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-12-06 | Atalanta | 2-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-02-25 | AC Milan | 1-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2024-01-10 | AC Milan | 1-2 | Atalanta | Coppa Italia |
| 2023-12-09 | Atalanta | 3-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2023-02-26 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| 2022-08-21 | Atalanta | 1-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2022-05-15 | AC Milan | 2-0 | Atalanta | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- AC Milan, previous: Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction
- AC Milan, next: Genoa vs AC Milan prediction
- Atalanta, previous: Atalanta v Genoa analysis
- Atalanta, next: Atalanta – Bologna, 2026-05-17