Why this pick: Genoa vs AC Milan
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Genoa 10, AC Milan 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
GenoaAC Milan
1.13
xG per 90
1.38
0.90
npxG per 90
1.30
10.4
PPDA
15.9
5.0
Deep completions per 90
7.5
1.28
xPTS per 90
1.38
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Genoa and AC Milan recent form
Genoa
2W 2D 2L
AC Milan
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Genoa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-8
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 18
AC Milan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-5-3
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 0.72
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Genoa at home only, AC Milan away only.
Genoa vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Genoa 0 · draws 3 · AC Milan 2.
0%
60%
40%
GenoaDrawsAC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | AC Milan | 1-1 | Genoa | Serie A |
| 2025-05-05 | Genoa | 1-2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-12-15 | AC Milan | 0-0 | Genoa | Serie A |
| 2024-05-05 | AC Milan | 3-3 | Genoa | Serie A |
| 2023-10-07 | Genoa | 0-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Genoa, previous: Fiorentina vs Genoa: odds and pick
- Genoa, next: Lecce vs Genoa: odds and pick
- AC Milan, previous: AC Milan – Atalanta, 2026-05-10
- AC Milan, next: AC Milan vs Cagliari prediction