Why this pick: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Bournemouth 10, Aston Villa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
BournemouthAston Villa
2.04
xG per 90
1.81
1.96
npxG per 90
1.81
14.6
PPDA
14.3
6.9
Deep completions per 90
9.1
1.66
xPTS per 90
1.52
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Bournemouth and Aston Villa recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bournemouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
Aston Villa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.42
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
League matches this season before kick-off: Bournemouth at home only, Aston Villa away only.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Bournemouth 3 · draws 2 · Aston Villa 4.
33%
22%
45%
BournemouthDrawsAston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Aston Villa | 4-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2025-05-10 | Bournemouth | 0-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-10-26 | Aston Villa | 1-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-04-21 | Aston Villa | 3-1 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2023-12-03 | Bournemouth | 2-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2023-03-18 | Aston Villa | 3-0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2022-08-06 | Bournemouth | 2-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2020-02-01 | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2019-08-17 | Aston Villa | 1-2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Bournemouth, previous: Wolverhampton Wanderers – Bournemouth, 2026-01-31
- Bournemouth, next: Everton vs Bournemouth prediction
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction
- Aston Villa, next: Aston Villa vs Brighton: odds and pick