Why this pick: Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Manchester City 10, Nottingham Forest 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Manchester CityNottingham Forest
1.87
xG per 90
1.37
1.72
npxG per 90
1.30
9.4
PPDA
17.0
9.9
Deep completions per 90
6.1
1.79
xPTS per 90
0.97
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Manchester City and Nottingham Forest recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manchester City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-2-1
- Win rate
- 79%
- Goals for / match
- 2.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.64
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 14
Nottingham Forest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-8
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Manchester City at home only, Nottingham Forest away only.
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Manchester City 5 · draws 0 · Nottingham Forest 1.
83%
0%
17%
Manchester CityDrawsNottingham Forest
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | Nottingham Forest | 1-2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2025-04-27 | Nottingham Forest | 0-2 | Manchester City | England FA Cup |
| 2025-03-08 | Nottingham Forest | 1-0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-12-04 | Manchester City | 3-0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-04-28 | Nottingham Forest | 0-2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2023-09-23 | Manchester City | 2-0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Manchester City, previous: Leeds – Manchester City, 2026-02-28
- Manchester City, next: West Ham vs Manchester City prediction
- Nottingham Forest, previous: Brighton v Nottingham Forest analysis
- Nottingham Forest, next: Nottingham Forest vs Fulham: odds and pick