Why this pick: Chelsea vs Manchester United
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Manchester United 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaManchester United
2.43
xG per 90
1.58
2.12
npxG per 90
1.43
11.2
PPDA
11.5
8.0
Deep completions per 90
7.9
1.94
xPTS per 90
1.50
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Manchester United recent form
Chelsea
1W 0D 5L
Manchester United
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-5
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
Manchester United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 16
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Manchester United away only.
Chelsea vs Manchester United head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Chelsea 2 · draws 1 · Manchester United 2.
40%
20%
40%
ChelseaDrawsManchester United
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United | 2-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea | 1-0 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2024-11-03 | Manchester United | 1-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea | 4-3 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| 2023-12-06 | Manchester United | 2-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Chelsea v Manchester City analysis
- Chelsea, next: Brighton v Chelsea analysis
- Manchester United, previous: Manchester United vs Leeds: odds and pick
- Manchester United, next: Manchester United vs Brentford: odds and pick