Why this pick: Chelsea vs Manchester City
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Manchester City 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaManchester City
2.47
xG per 90
1.99
2.09
npxG per 90
1.84
10.4
PPDA
10.0
7.9
Deep completions per 90
9.7
2.03
xPTS per 90
1.98
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Manchester City recent form
Chelsea
2W 0D 4L
Manchester City
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-4
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.53
- Goals against / match
- 1.13
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
Manchester City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.13
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Manchester City away only.
Chelsea vs Manchester City head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Chelsea 0 · draws 3 · Manchester City 2.
0%
60%
40%
ChelseaDrawsManchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Manchester City | 1-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2025-01-25 | Manchester City | 3-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-08-18 | Chelsea | 0-2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-02-17 | Manchester City | 1-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-11-12 | Chelsea | 4-4 | Manchester City | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Everton – Chelsea, 2026-03-21
- Chelsea, next: Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction
- Manchester City, previous: West Ham vs Manchester City prediction
- Manchester City, next: Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction