Why this pick: Chelsea vs Newcastle United
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Chelsea 10, Newcastle United 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
ChelseaNewcastle United
2.61
xG per 90
1.76
2.23
npxG per 90
1.53
10.7
PPDA
9.6
6.5
Deep completions per 90
7.6
2.17
xPTS per 90
1.41
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Chelsea and Newcastle United recent form
Chelsea
3W 1D 2L
Newcastle United
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
Newcastle United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-7
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
League matches this season before kick-off: Chelsea at home only, Newcastle United away only.
Chelsea vs Newcastle United head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Chelsea 2 · draws 1 · Newcastle United 2.
40%
20%
40%
ChelseaDrawsNewcastle United
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle United | 2-2 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle United | 2-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea | 2-1 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea | 3-2 | Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2023-11-25 | Newcastle United | 4-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Chelsea, previous: Aston Villa v Chelsea analysis
- Chelsea, next: Everton – Chelsea, 2026-03-21
- Newcastle United, previous: Newcastle United v Manchester United analysis
- Newcastle United, next: Newcastle United vs Sunderland: odds and pick