Why this pick: Everton vs Chelsea
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Everton 10, Chelsea 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
EvertonChelsea
1.41
xG per 90
2.58
1.33
npxG per 90
2.20
12.7
PPDA
10.5
4.4
Deep completions per 90
7.5
1.41
xPTS per 90
2.13
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Everton and Chelsea recent form
Everton
3W 0D 3L
Chelsea
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Everton at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-6
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.27
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
Chelsea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
League matches this season before kick-off: Everton at home only, Chelsea away only.
Everton vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Everton 2 · draws 3 · Chelsea 4.
22%
33%
45%
EvertonDrawsChelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Chelsea | 2-0 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2025-04-26 | Chelsea | 1-0 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2024-12-22 | Everton | 0-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-04-15 | Chelsea | 6-0 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2023-12-10 | Everton | 2-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-03-18 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Everton | Premier League |
| 2022-08-06 | Everton | 0-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2022-05-01 | Everton | 1-0 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2021-12-16 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Everton | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Everton, previous: Arsenal v Everton analysis
- Everton, next: Brentford vs Everton prediction
- Chelsea, previous: Chelsea vs Newcastle United: odds and pick
- Chelsea, next: Chelsea v Manchester City analysis