Why this pick: Leeds vs Manchester City
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Leeds 10, Manchester City 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LeedsManchester City
1.61
xG per 90
1.77
1.45
npxG per 90
1.62
12.8
PPDA
8.4
6.1
Deep completions per 90
10.4
1.36
xPTS per 90
1.78
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Leeds and Manchester City recent form
Leeds
1W 4D 1L
Manchester City
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leeds at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-3
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
Manchester City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-4
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Leeds at home only, Manchester City away only.
Leeds vs Manchester City head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Leeds 0 · draws 0 · Manchester City 1.
0%
0%
100%
LeedsDrawsManchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Manchester City | 3-2 | Leeds | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Leeds, previous: Aston Villa v Leeds analysis
- Leeds, next: Leeds vs Sunderland prediction
- Manchester City, previous: Manchester City v Newcastle United analysis
- Manchester City, next: Manchester City – Nottingham Forest, 2026-03-04