Why this pick: Aston Villa vs Leeds
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Aston Villa 10, Leeds 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Aston VillaLeeds
1.60
xG per 90
1.77
1.60
npxG per 90
1.62
14.9
PPDA
12.9
9.5
Deep completions per 90
6.5
1.45
xPTS per 90
1.45
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Aston Villa and Leeds recent form
Aston Villa
3W 1D 2L
Leeds
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aston Villa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-3
- Win rate
- 69%
- Goals for / match
- 1.46
- Goals against / match
- 0.77
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
Leeds away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-5-7
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
League matches this season before kick-off: Aston Villa at home only, Leeds away only.
Aston Villa vs Leeds head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Aston Villa 1 · draws 0 · Leeds 0.
100%
0%
0%
Aston VillaDrawsLeeds
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Leeds | 1-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Aston Villa, previous: Aston Villa vs Brighton: odds and pick
- Aston Villa, next: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa prediction
- Leeds, previous: Chelsea vs Leeds: odds and pick
- Leeds, next: Leeds – Manchester City, 2026-02-28