Why this pick: AC Milan vs Cagliari
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (AC Milan 10, Cagliari 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
AC MilanCagliari
1.15
xG per 90
1.23
0.99
npxG per 90
1.15
16.0
PPDA
15.7
7.1
Deep completions per 90
3.9
1.23
xPTS per 90
1.24
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
AC Milan and Cagliari recent form
AC Milan
2W 1D 3L
Cagliari
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AC Milan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-5-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 18
Cagliari away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-6-9
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.89
- Goals against / match
- 1.61
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: AC Milan at home only, Cagliari away only.
AC Milan vs Cagliari head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: AC Milan 3 · draws 2 · Cagliari 0.
60%
40%
0%
AC MilanDrawsCagliari
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | Cagliari | 0-1 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2025-01-11 | AC Milan | 1-1 | Cagliari | Serie A |
| 2024-11-09 | Cagliari | 3-3 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| 2024-05-11 | AC Milan | 5-1 | Cagliari | Serie A |
| 2023-09-27 | Cagliari | 1-3 | AC Milan | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- AC Milan, previous: Genoa vs AC Milan prediction
- AC Milan, next: Torino v AC Milan analysis
- Cagliari, previous: Cagliari v Torino analysis
- Cagliari, next: Parma Calcio 1913 v Cagliari analysis