Why this pick: Lecce vs Genoa
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Lecce 10, Genoa 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LecceGenoa
1.10
xG per 90
1.28
1.02
npxG per 90
1.05
11.6
PPDA
10.3
4.1
Deep completions per 90
5.0
1.07
xPTS per 90
1.41
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Lecce and Genoa recent form
Lecce
2W 2D 2L
Genoa
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lecce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-9
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 18
Genoa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-7-7
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Lecce at home only, Genoa away only.
Lecce vs Genoa head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Lecce 1 · draws 2 · Genoa 2.
20%
40%
40%
LecceDrawsGenoa
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Genoa | 0-0 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2025-03-14 | Genoa | 2-1 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2025-01-05 | Lecce | 0-0 | Genoa | Serie A |
| 2024-01-28 | Genoa | 2-1 | Lecce | Serie A |
| 2023-09-22 | Lecce | 1-0 | Genoa | Serie A |
Before and after this match
- Lecce, previous: Sassuolo vs Lecce: odds and pick
- Lecce, next: Venezia vs Lecce prediction
- Genoa, previous: Genoa vs AC Milan prediction
- Genoa, next: Genoa – Napoli, 2026-08-22