Why this pick: Aston Villa vs Liverpool
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Aston Villa 10, Liverpool 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Aston VillaLiverpool
1.59
xG per 90
1.54
1.59
npxG per 90
1.54
11.6
PPDA
9.8
7.3
Deep completions per 90
9.8
1.40
xPTS per 90
1.42
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Aston Villa and Liverpool recent form
Aston Villa
2W 1D 3L
Liverpool
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aston Villa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-2-5
- Win rate
- 61%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 18
Liverpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-8
- Win rate
- 39%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.61
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
League matches this season before kick-off: Aston Villa at home only, Liverpool away only.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Aston Villa 0 · draws 2 · Liverpool 3.
0%
40%
60%
Aston VillaDrawsLiverpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2025-02-19 | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-11-09 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 2024-05-13 | Aston Villa | 3-3 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2023-09-03 | Liverpool | 3-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Before and after this match
- Aston Villa, previous: Burnley vs Aston Villa: odds and pick
- Aston Villa, next: Manchester City vs Aston Villa prediction
- Liverpool, previous: Liverpool v Chelsea analysis
- Liverpool, next: Liverpool vs Brentford: odds and pick