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Europe · 2026/27 season

England football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in England — 1 competition, 20 clubs, 100 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in England
Teams 20 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 80 of 380 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in England

8 fixtures on 31 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in England with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Chelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueA Premier League ChelseaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.90 +1% 54% 53% A 1.90
Bournemouth vs LeedsPremier LeagueA Premier League BournemouthOur prob 53%Best odds 2.18 +8% 53% 45% A 2.18
Manchester City vs BrightonPremier LeagueA Premier League Manchester CityOur prob 56%Best odds 1.67 -2% 56% 58% A 1.67
Brentford vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueA Premier League BrentfordOur prob 46%Best odds 2.09 0% 46% 47% A 2.09
Hull City vs IpswichPremier LeagueA Premier League Hull CityOur prob 40%Best odds 2.73 +3% 40% 36% A 2.73
Coventry vs SunderlandPremier LeagueA Premier League SunderlandOur prob 37%Best odds 2.46 -4% 37% 40% A 2.46
Tottenham vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueA Premier League TottenhamOur prob 59%Best odds 1.75 -3% 59% 62% A 1.75
Aston Villa vs FulhamPremier LeagueA Premier League Aston VillaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.06 +2% 49% 48% A 2.06

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

England — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across England’s covered competitions: 80 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 39% 31 of 80 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Away wins 32% 26 of 80 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Over 2.5 goals 50% 40 of 80 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Both teams scored 50% 40 of 80 matches -6 pts vs 2025/26 (380)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).

Competitions in England

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in England by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.23
Attack
2.17
Defence
0.94
Form NextLeeds (H) · 31 Oct
#4
Net rating
+0.70
Attack
1.67
Defence
0.97
Form NextLiverpool (A) · 1 Nov
Net rating
+0.61
Attack
2.03
Defence
1.42
Form NextFulham (H) · 31 Oct
Net rating
+0.51
Attack
2.06
Defence
1.56
Form NextArsenal (H) · 1 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in England

What happened next to what we predicted