Matches on Thursday
2
across 1 competition
Competitions
1
with fixtures on Thursday
Value picks
0
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
2
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
—
across value picks
Match explorer
2 fixtures on Thursday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone vs LecceSerie AA | Serie A | FrosinoneOur prob 55%Best odds 1.92 | -2% | 55% | 56% | A | 1.92 | |
| Fiorentina vs AtalantaSerie AA | Serie A | FiorentinaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.30 | 0% | 43% | 43% | A | 2.30 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.