Top pick on Friday
Villarreal
vs
Espanyol
- Our pick
- Villarreal to win
- Our prob.
- 70%
- Market prob.
- 66%
- Edge
- +4%
- Best odds
- 1.50
Matches on Friday
4
across 3 competitions
Competitions
3
with fixtures on Friday
Value picks
1
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
3
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+4.0%
across value picks
Match explorer
4 fixtures on Friday — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | Paris Saint GermainOur prob 72%Best odds 1.26 | -5% | 72% | 77% | A | 1.26 | |
| SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05BundesligaB | Bundesliga | Mainz 05Our prob 45%Best odds 2.16 | 0% | 45% | 45% | B | 2.16 | Bet Now |
| Villarreal vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | VillarrealOur prob 70%Best odds 1.50 | +4% | 70% | 66% | A | 1.50 | Bet Now |
| Lille vs LensLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LilleOur prob 38%Best odds 2.55 | -1% | 38% | 39% | A | 2.55 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions on Friday
3 competitions with fixtures on Friday — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above
- Ligue 1 France 2 fixtures
- Bundesliga Germany 1 fixture
- La Liga Spain 1 fixture