Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Lask Linz vs Liverpool

· Raiffeisen Arena, Linz· Referee Tobias Stieler

Full time3 – 6

TipsterGrid prediction was Liverpool to win

Bblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

4% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Lask LinzDrawLiverpool

Lask Linz vs Liverpool: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLask LinzDrawLiverpool
Model66%19%15%
Market12%19%69%
Published26%19%55%
Edge+13%0%-13%
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Lask Linz vs Liverpool odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Liverpool, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 1.25Now 1.38 +0.13
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Lask Linz10.507.80-2.70
Draw6.505.00-1.50
Liverpool1.251.38+0.13

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Lask Linz and Liverpool expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.48Lask Linz
1.15Liverpool
Total expected goals
3.63
Attack rating (Lask Linz / Liverpool)
1.42 / 1.02
Defence rating (Lask Linz / Liverpool)
0.89 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lask Linz vs Liverpool score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.4% 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1 5.8% 8.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6% 2 8.1% 9.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8% 3 6.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6% 4+ 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.7%

Rows: Lask Linz goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lask Linz vs Liverpool goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 70%
Over 3.5 49%
Both teams to score
63%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lask Linz vs Liverpool

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Lask Linz26%3.92
Draw19%5.25
Liverpool55%1.80
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570%1.42
Under 2.530%3.36
Both teams to scoreYes63%1.58
No37%2.73
Double chance1X (Lask Linz or draw)45%2.24
12 (either side)81%1.24
X2 (draw or Liverpool)74%1.34
Handicap -1Liverpool win by 2+6%16.97
Push (exactly one goal)9%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Lask Linz and Liverpool recent form

Lask Linz 2W 1D 3L
Liverpool 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Lask Linz at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
5.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Lask Linz at home only, Liverpool away only.

Injuries & availability

Lask Linz absences

  • A. Smakaj off the roster
  • G. Bello muscle injury
  • K. Cheikne off the roster
  • M. Usor shoulder injury
  • R. Harakate knee injury

Liverpool absences

  • A. Isak thigh injury
  • C. Bradley knee injury
  • C. Gakpo ankle injury
  • D. Szoboszlai hamstring injury
  • F. Chiesa off the roster
  • G. Leoni knee injury
  • H. Ekitike achilles tendon injury
  • W. Endo off the roster

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Lask Linz lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 1 L. Jungwirth
  2. 25 Y. Dibango
  3. 16 A. Andrade
  4. 43 Alemão
  5. 4 X. Mbuyamba
  6. 20 K. Jørgensen
  7. 18 A. Schöpf
  8. 6 M. Bogarde
  9. 9 K. Daněk
  10. 7 S. Adeniran
  11. 27 C. Lang

Bench: M. Freckleton, R. Ljubičić, S. Kalajdzic, M. Verhaeghe, Daniel Elfadli, F. Flecker, T. Schützenauer, N. Kane, Fabian Schillinger

Liverpool lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Alisson Becker
  2. 21 K. Tsimikas
  3. 5 J. Jacquet
  4. 33 R. Araújo
  5. 30 J. Frimpong
  6. 42 T. Nyoni
  7. 38 R. Gravenberch
  8. 73 R. Ngumoha
  9. 7 F. Wirtz
  10. 29 B. Barcola
  11. 67 L. Koumas

Bench: J. Gomez, V. van Dijk, M. Kerkez, A. Mac Allister, Víctor Muñoz, G. Mamardashvili, F. Woodman, L. Chambers, J. McConnell, J. Danns, J. Lambie, W. Omoruyi

Lask Linz vs Liverpool head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Lask Linz 0 · draws 0 · Liverpool 2.

Lask LinzDrawsLiverpool
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-11-30Liverpool4-0Lask LinzUEFA Europa League
2023-09-21Lask Linz1-3LiverpoolUEFA Europa League

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match