Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart

· Tehelne Pole Stadion, Bratislava· Referee Irfan Peljto

Full time0 – 3

TipsterGrid prediction was VfB Stuttgart to win

Bblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

5% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Slovan BratislavaDrawVfB Stuttgart

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSlovan BratislavaDrawVfB Stuttgart
Model57%19%24%
Market12%17%71%
Published23%17%59%
Edge+11%+1%-12%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart odds movement

Median bookmaker price on VfB Stuttgart, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 1.30Now 1.33 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Slovan Bratislava8.507.80-0.70
Draw5.705.62-0.08
VfB Stuttgart1.301.33+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.65Slovan Bratislava
1.75VfB Stuttgart
Total expected goals
4.40
Attack rating (Slovan Bratislava / VfB Stuttgart)
1.10 / 1.31
Defence rating (Slovan Bratislava / VfB Stuttgart)
1.04 / 1.28

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1 2.7% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.9% 2 4.3% 7.5% 6.6% 3.8% 2.5% 3 3.8% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 2.2% 4+ 4.8% 8.4% 7.3% 4.3% 2.8%

Rows: Slovan Bratislava goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 94%
Over 2.5 81%
Over 3.5 64%
Both teams to score
77%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Slovan Bratislava23%4.28
Draw17%5.74
VfB Stuttgart59%1.69
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582%1.22
Under 2.518%5.46
Both teams to scoreYes77%1.29
No23%4.43
Double chance1X (Slovan Bratislava or draw)41%2.45
12 (either side)83%1.21
X2 (draw or VfB Stuttgart)77%1.30
Handicap -1VfB Stuttgart win by 2+12%8.44
Push (exactly one goal)12%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart recent form

Slovan Bratislava 1W 2D 3L
VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Slovan Bratislava at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Slovan Bratislava at home only, VfB Stuttgart away only.

Injuries & availability

Slovan Bratislava absences

  • A. Griger off the roster
  • M. Kianga off the roster
  • M. Kukharevych injury

VfB Stuttgart absences

  • A. Al Dakhil knee injury
  • D. Zagadou muscle injury
  • J. Diehl muscle injury
  • L. Stergiou off the roster
  • M. Mittelstadt heel injury
  • N. Nartey muscle injury
  • S. Drljaca off the roster
  • T. Tomas muscle injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Slovan Bratislava lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 71 D. Takáč
  2. 57 Sandro Cruz
  3. 15 S. Marković
  4. 12 K. Bajrič
  5. 28 C. Blackman
  6. 3 P. Pokorný
  7. 20 A. Mustafić
  8. 21 Suleiman Camara
  9. 70 Cristian Jesús Martínez
  10. 11 T. Barseghyan
  11. 99 A. Šporar

Bench: A. Popović, S. Kozlovský, R. Ibrahim, K. Wimmer, A. Gajdoš, N. Marcelli, R. Čerepkai, A. Yirajang, A. Maroš, S. Camara, D. Ignatenko, D. Matsuoka

VfB Stuttgart lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 F. Bredlow
  2. 3 R. Hendriks
  3. 24 J. Chabot
  4. 29 Finn Jeltsch
  5. 4 J. Vagnoman
  6. 6 A. Stiller
  7. 21 G. Prömel
  8. 10 C. Führich
  9. 26 D. Undav
  10. 11 B. El Khannouss
  11. 17 D. Pejčinović

Bench: E. Demirović, L. Jaquez, A. Karazor, J. Leweling, L. Assignon, M. Funk, D. Seimen, L. Sauer, Y. Spalt

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 0 · draws 0 · VfB Stuttgart 1.

Slovan BratislavaDrawsVfB Stuttgart
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-01-21Slovan Bratislava1-3VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League

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