SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: model vs market

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bayer Leverkusen, 17 snapshots since 2026-08-21.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

4.26

Attack rating (SV Elversberg / Bayer Leverkusen)

1.31 / 1.40

Defence rating (SV Elversberg / Bayer Leverkusen)

0.86 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: SV Elversberg goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

76%

No goals (0–0)

3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen recent form

SV Elversberg WWLWDW 4W 1D 1L

Bayer Leverkusen WDLWWL 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Injuries & availability

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.