Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Feyenoord vs Como

· Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam· Referee Donatas Rumsas

Full time3 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was Feyenoord to win

Bblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FeyenoordDrawComo

Feyenoord vs Como: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFeyenoordDrawComo
Model65%18%16%
Market30%25%45%
Published39%23%38%
Edge+9%-2%-7%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.33.
  • The market prices Feyenoord below our published probability: +8.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Feyenoord vs Como odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Feyenoord, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 3.60Now 3.14 -0.46
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Feyenoord3.603.14-0.46
Draw4.103.85-0.24
Como1.872.12+0.25

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Feyenoord and Como expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.68Feyenoord
1.33Como
Total expected goals
4.01
Attack rating (Feyenoord / Como)
1.62 / 1.36
Defence rating (Feyenoord / Como)
0.77 / 0.88

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Feyenoord vs Como score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.5% 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 1 4.2% 7.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.9% 2 6.5% 8.7% 5.8% 2.6% 1.1% 3 5.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.3% 1.0% 4+ 7.4% 9.9% 6.6% 2.9% 1.3%

Rows: Feyenoord goals. Columns: Como goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Feyenoord vs Como goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 76%
Over 3.5 57%
Both teams to score
69%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Feyenoord vs Como

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Feyenoord39%2.55
Draw23%4.33
Como38%2.65
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576%1.31
Under 2.524%4.23
Both teams to scoreYes69%1.45
No31%3.25
Double chance1X (Feyenoord or draw)62%1.61
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Como)61%1.64
Handicap -1Feyenoord win by 2+46%2.19
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Feyenoord and Como recent form

Feyenoord 4W 1D 1L
Como 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Injuries & availability

Feyenoord absences

  • B. Nieuwkoop knee injury
  • G. Borges knock
  • G. Smal ankle injury
  • J. Bos knee injury
  • J. Moder knee injury
  • R. Nelson injury
  • S. van Persie injury
  • T. Beelen broken leg

Como absences

  • A. Lahdo off the roster
  • E. Goldaniga off the roster
  • J. Addai off the roster
  • M. Caqueret off the roster
  • M. Kean leg injury
  • W. Kambwala off the roster

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Feyenoord lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 T. Ernst
  2. 16 Javi López
  3. 35 Mika Màrmol
  4. 6 J. St. Juste
  5. 26 G. Read
  6. 28 O. Targhalline
  7. 34 C. Vanhoutte
  8. 8 G. Zechiël
  9. 10 L. Valente
  10. 19 Nacho Ferri
  11. 23 A. Hadj-Moussa

Bench: T. Watanabe, Gonçalo Borges, S. Steijn, M. Deijl, T. van den Elshout, T. Kraaijeveld, G. Diarra, T. Wessels, F. Kastenmeier, J. Zinhagel, L. Bossin, J. Schaken

Como lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 97 Robert Sánchez
  2. 3 Álex Valle
  3. 99 T. Chalobah
  4. 4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros
  5. 28 I. Smolčić
  6. 5 M. Perrone
  7. 6 Luis Milla
  8. 16 Kaiki
  9. 20 M. Baturina
  10. 11 Assane Diao
  11. 10 N. Paz

Bench: J. Butez, M. Kempf, L. da Cunha, T. Douvikas, A. Dossena, Jesús Rodríguez, S. Ricci, Yan Couto, M. Liberali

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