Updated

Flag of France

Europe · 2026/27 season

France football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in France — 1 competition, 18 clubs, 90 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in France
Teams 18 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 72 of 306 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in France

2 fixtures on 30 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in France with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Le Havre vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1A Ligue 1 Paris Saint GermainOur prob 72%Best odds 1.26 -5% 72% 77% A 1.26
Lille vs LensLigue 1A Ligue 1 LilleOur prob 38%Best odds 2.55 -1% 38% 39% A 2.55

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

France — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across France’s covered competitions: 72 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 44% 32 of 72 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (306)
Away wins 29% 21 of 72 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (306)
Over 2.5 goals 61% 44 of 72 matches +8 pts vs 2025/26 (306)
Both teams scored 62% 45 of 72 matches +12 pts vs 2025/26 (306)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (306 played matches).

Competitions in France

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in France by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.52
Attack
1.69
Defence
1.17
Form NextMonaco (H) · 31 Oct
#3
Net rating
+0.43
Attack
1.63
Defence
1.19
Form NextParis FC (A) · 31 Oct
#4
Net rating
+0.36
Attack
1.78
Defence
1.43
Form NextLorient (A) · 31 Oct
Net rating
+0.21
Attack
1.57
Defence
1.36
Form NextMarseille (A) · 31 Oct
#6
Net rating
+0.08
Attack
1.29
Defence
1.21
Form NextBrest (H) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in France

What happened next to what we predicted