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Europe · 2026/27 season

Spain football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Spain — 1 competition, 20 clubs, 118 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Spain
Teams 20 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 99 of 385 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Spain

1 fixture on 30 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Spain with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Villarreal vs EspanyolLa LigaA La Liga VillarrealOur prob 70%Best odds 1.50 +4% 70% 66% A 1.50

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Spain — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Spain’s covered competitions: 99 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 44% 44 of 99 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Away wins 28% 28 of 99 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Over 2.5 goals 57% 56 of 99 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (380)
Both teams scored 59% 58 of 99 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (380)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (380 played matches).

Competitions in Spain

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Spain by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.34
Attack
2.83
Defence
1.48
Form NextAlaves (H) · 31 Oct
Net rating
+0.98
Attack
2.43
Defence
1.45
Form NextEspanyol (H) · 30 Oct
Net rating
+0.20
Attack
1.73
Defence
1.54
Form NextMalaga (H) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Spain

What happened next to what we predicted