Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC preview
In the upcoming match between Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC, Rapid Vienna holds a strong 78% probability of winning, with an expected goals figure of 3.39 compared to Wolfsberger AC's 0.56. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-0, occurring at a rate of 13%.
However, the confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. Wolfsberger AC's recent form shows 6 games without a win, including 5 losses, which could lead to an unexpected performance. Additionally, both teams to score has a lower probability at 42%, suggesting that while Rapid Vienna is favored, there remains a chance for an atypical outcome.
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC: model vs market
| Source | Rapid Vienna | Draw | Wolfsberger AC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| Published | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Edge | +4% | -2% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.39 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapid Vienna below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.28, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rapid Vienna, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 1.19 | 1.25 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 6.60 | 6.03 | -0.57 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 12.60 | 9.48 | -3.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.94
- Attack rating (Rapid Vienna / Wolfsberger AC)
- 1.84 / 0.65
- Defence rating (Rapid Vienna / Wolfsberger AC)
- 0.67 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rapid Vienna goals. Columns: Wolfsberger AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapid Vienna | 78% | 1.28 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.28 | |
| Wolfsberger AC | 8% | 12.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.41 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rapid Vienna or draw) | 92% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.16 | |
| X2 (draw or Wolfsberger AC) | 22% | 4.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid Vienna win by 2+ | 74% | 1.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC recent form
Rapid Vienna
6W 0D 0L
Wolfsberger AC
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rapid Vienna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 10 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wolfsberger AC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid Vienna at home only, Wolfsberger AC away only.
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Rapid Vienna 5 · draws 2 · Wolfsberger AC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Wolfsberger AC | 0-3 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-02-21 | Rapid Vienna | 2-0 | Wolfsberger AC | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-24 | Wolfsberger AC | 1-2 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-05-04 | Rapid Vienna | 0-1 | Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-20 | Wolfsberger AC | 5-1 | Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-08 | Rapid Vienna | 1-3 | Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-14 | Wolfsberger AC | 1-1 | Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-11 | Wolfsberger AC | 0-2 | Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| 2023-09-17 | Rapid Vienna | 3-3 | Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| 2023-02-26 | Wolfsberger AC | 1-2 | Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK 2026-11-07
- Ried vs Lask Linz 2026-11-07
- TSV Hartberg v SCR Altach — match page 2026-11-08
- WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Rapid Vienna, previous: Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna: odds and pick
- Wolfsberger AC, previous: Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz, 2026-11-01