WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna preview
In the upcoming match between WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna, the 1X2 probabilities show WSG Wattens at 42% and Austria Vienna at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The expected goals for WSG Wattens is 1.95, while Austria Vienna sits at 1.15, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the home side.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. WSG Wattens has recorded L-D-D-W-L-L in their last six matches, while Austria Vienna has struggled with L-D-L-L-L-D. Despite WSG Wattens having a better probability of winning, the confidence grade of C suggests uncertainty in the prediction, highlighting the potential for an upset.
WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna: model vs market
| Source | WSG Wattens | Draw | Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Published | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices WSG Wattens below our published probability: +4.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +10.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on WSG Wattens, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSG Wattens | 2.40 | 2.50 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.44 | -0.06 |
| Austria Vienna | 2.67 | 2.59 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (WSG Wattens / Austria Vienna)
- 1.11 / 0.88
- Defence rating (WSG Wattens / Austria Vienna)
- 1.02 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: WSG Wattens goals. Columns: Austria Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSG Wattens | 42% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Austria Vienna | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (WSG Wattens or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Austria Vienna) | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | WSG Wattens win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna recent form
WSG Wattens
1W 2D 3L
Austria Vienna
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
WSG Wattens at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Austria Vienna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: WSG Wattens at home only, Austria Vienna away only.
WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: WSG Wattens 2 · draws 2 · Austria Vienna 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Austria Vienna | 0-1 | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-29 | Austria Vienna | 0-0 | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-18 | WSG Wattens | 2-3 | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-16 | WSG Wattens | 0-2 | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| 2024-10-26 | Austria Vienna | 3-0 | WSG Wattens | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-23 | WSG Wattens | 1-0 | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-20 | Austria Vienna | 3-0 | WSG Wattens | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-10 | Austria Vienna | 2-0 | WSG Wattens | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-22 | WSG Wattens | 0-2 | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| 2022-11-06 | WSG Wattens | 0-0 | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK 2026-11-07
- Ried vs Lask Linz 2026-11-07
- TSV Hartberg v SCR Altach — match page 2026-11-08
- Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- WSG Wattens, previous: Lask Linz v WSG Wattens analysis
- Austria Vienna, previous: Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna: odds and pick