Updated

World · 2026/27 season

UEFA Europa League Football Predictions

In the UEFA Europa League, Ferencvarosi TC leads with 29 points after 134 matches played this season. The average goals per match stand at 2.87, with 60% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and 46% featuring both teams scoring. These trends could shift, impacting future predictions.

Teams 76 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 134 of 224 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 18 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 84 so far this season

Upcoming UEFA Europa League fixtures

18 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 42 more scheduled later this season.

UEFA Europa League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Rennes vs Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Olympiakos PiraeusOur prob 39%Best odds 3.20 +8% 39% 30% B 3.20
Crystal Palace vs HoffenheimUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Crystal PalaceOur prob 44%Best odds 1.95 -6% 44% 50% B 1.95
Lillestrom vs PlzenUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League PlzenOur prob 41%Best odds 2.25 -2% 41% 43% C 2.25
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League NEC NijmegenOur prob 46%Best odds 1.85 -7% 46% 53% C 1.85
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League AC MilanOur prob 58%Best odds 1.34 -13% 58% 71% B 1.34
Real Sociedad vs LyonUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Real SociedadOur prob 52%Best odds 1.85 -1% 52% 53% B 1.85
Anderlecht vs Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League AnderlechtOur prob 44%Best odds 2.01 -5% 44% 48% C 2.01
Sparta Praha vs BournemouthUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League BournemouthOur prob 57%Best odds 1.52 -6% 57% 63% B 1.52
Levski Sofia vs JagielloniaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Levski SofiaOur prob 48%Best odds 2.04 0% 48% 48% C 2.04
Bayer Leverkusen vs MarseilleUEFA Europa LeagueA UEFA Europa League Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 70%Best odds 1.41 +1% 70% 69% A 1.41
AZ Alkmaar vs JuventusUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League JuventusOur prob 46%Best odds 2.04 -2% 46% 47% B 2.04
Benfica vs Lech PoznanUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League BenficaOur prob 79%Best odds 1.17 -3% 79% 82% C 1.17
Celtic vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League BeşiktaşOur prob 43%Best odds 2.23 -1% 43% 44% C 2.23
Celta Vigo vs Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Union St. GilloiseOur prob 39%Best odds 3.20 +8% 39% 31% B 3.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFIUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Hapoel Beer ShevaOur prob 48%Best odds 2.12 +2% 48% 46% C 2.12
Sturm Graz vs CeljeUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Sturm GrazOur prob 57%Best odds 1.58 -4% 57% 61% C 1.58
Sunderland vs Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League SunderlandOur prob 59%Best odds 1.52 -5% 59% 64% B 1.52
Torreense vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League TorreenseOur prob 48%Best odds 1.81 -6% 48% 54% C 1.81

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

UEFA Europa League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

UEFA Europa League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Ferencvarosi TC 11 920 258 +17 29
2 Benfica 9 711 298 +21 22
3 Beşiktaş 9 711 176 +11 22
4 Anderlecht 9 612 187 +11 19
5 Red Bull Salzburg 7 421 119 +2 14
6 Jagiellonia 7 412 139 +4 13
7 Omonia Nicosia 7 412 118 +3 13
8 Lech Poznan 7 322 1611 +5 11
9 CSKA Sofia 8 323 911 -2 11
10 Bayer Leverkusen 3 300 80 +8 9
11 Bournemouth 3 300 81 +7 9
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv 4 301 94 +5 9
13 OFI 5 302 84 +4 9
14 Olympiakos Piraeus 3 300 41 +3 9
15 Qarabag 4 220 60 +6 8
16 Union St. Gilloise 3 210 81 +7 7
17 Juventus 3 210 93 +6 7
18 Sunderland 3 210 42 +2 7
19 AZ Alkmaar 3 201 62 +4 6
20 PAOK 4 202 76 +1 6
21 HNK Hajduk Split 4 202 54 +1 6
22 Hradec Králové 4 202 43 +1 6
23 Lyon 3 201 56 -1 6
24 Rennes 3 120 43 +1 5
25 Universitatea Craiova 4 121 44 0 5
26 Lillestrom 5 122 410 -6 5
27 Real Sociedad 3 111 83 +5 4
28 Crystal Palace 3 111 85 +3 4
29 Sparta Praha 3 111 53 +2 4
30 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 4 112 76 +1 4
31 Levski Sofia 3 111 33 0 4
32 Pafos 4 112 56 -1 4
33 Dinamo Zagreb 3 111 34 -1 4
34 Sturm Graz 3 111 13 -2 4
35 NEC Nijmegen 3 111 58 -3 4
36 FC Iberia 1999 4 112 37 -4 4
37 FC Thun 4 112 712 -5 4
38 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 112 16 -5 4
39 Ararat-Armenia 5 113 412 -8 4
40 Hoffenheim 3 102 55 0 3
41 FK Crvena Zvezda 2 101 45 -1 3
42 AC Milan 3 102 45 -1 3
43 St. Truiden 2 101 34 -1 3
44 Celta Vigo 3 102 34 -1 3
45 Žilina 2 101 23 -1 3
46 Shamrock Rovers 2 101 46 -2 3
47 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 101 35 -2 3
48 Kauno Žalgiris 2 101 13 -2 3
49 Torreense 3 102 47 -3 3
50 Plzen 5 104 711 -4 3
51 FC ST. Gallen 2 101 26 -4 3
52 Universitatea Cluj 2 020 00 0 2
53 Dynamo Kyiv 4 022 25 -3 2
54 Twente 2 011 34 -1 1
55 KuPS 2 011 23 -1 1
56 Rangers 2 011 23 -1 1
57 Larne 2 011 12 -1 1
58 Gornik Zabrze 2 011 12 -1 1
59 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 011 12 -1 1
60 Aluminij 2 011 01 -1 1
61 Hammarby FF 2 011 24 -2 1
62 Heart Of Midlothian 2 011 27 -5 1
63 Celje 3 012 27 -5 1
64 Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 012 16 -5 1
65 Derry City 2 002 35 -2 0
66 Tromso 2 002 14 -3 0
67 FC Midtjylland 2 002 03 -3 0
68 Aarhus 2 002 26 -4 0
69 Vojvodina 2 002 15 -4 0
70 Mjallby AIF 2 002 04 -4 0
71 Marseille 3 003 16 -5 0
72 Trabzonspor 2 002 05 -5 0
73 Celtic 3 003 39 -6 0
74 Vestri 2 002 06 -6 0
75 KI Klaksvik 2 002 06 -6 0
76 Kairat Almaty 2 002 06 -6 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

UEFA Europa League trends

How UEFA Europa League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 134 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 49% 65 of 134 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (271)
Away wins 32% 43 of 134 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (271)
Over 2.5 goals 60% 81 of 134 matches +8 pts vs 2025/26 (271)
Both teams scored 46% 62 of 134 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (271)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (271 played matches).

Top UEFA Europa League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+1.63
Attack
2.60
Defence
0.96
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in UEFA Europa League

From the UEFA Europa League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • L. DionyOmonia Nicosia 4 G 0 A
  • K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC 3 G 2 A
  • N. WoltemadeJuventus 3 G 1 A
  • D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb 3 G 0 A
  • Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace 3 G 0 A
  • Sergio GómezReal Sociedad 3 G 0 A
  • A. CissèAC Milan 3 G 0 A
  • B. YusufFerencvarosi TC 2 G 2 A

Recent UEFA Europa League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent UEFA Europa League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Celje vs Red Bull SalzburgOur pick Red Bull Salzburg · 60% Red Bull Salzburg to win 60% 2–2 Missed
Omonia Nicosia vs BenficaOur pick Benfica · 63% Benfica to win 63% 1–4 Correct
Plzen vs Levski SofiaOur pick Plzen · 49% Plzen to win 49% 1–2 Missed
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta PrahaOur pick Olympiakos Piraeus · 59% Olympiakos Piraeus to win 59% 1–0 Correct
Beşiktaş vs Crystal PalaceOur pick Beşiktaş · 49% Beşiktaş to win 49% 2–2 Missed
Jagiellonia vs AnderlechtOur pick Anderlecht · 41% Anderlecht to win 41% 0–3 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.