Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 11

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna

· Generali Arena, Vienna· Referee Stefan Ebner

Full time0 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was Rapid Vienna to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Austria ViennaDrawRapid Vienna

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAustria ViennaDrawRapid Vienna
Model12%17%71%
Market21%23%56%
Published19%22%60%
Edge-2%-2%+4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Rapid Vienna below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rapid Vienna, 19 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 1.62Now 1.67 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Austria Vienna4.724.50-0.22
Draw4.123.99-0.13
Rapid Vienna1.621.67+0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.11Austria Vienna
2.72Rapid Vienna
Total expected goals
3.83
Attack rating (Austria Vienna / Rapid Vienna)
0.98 / 1.93
Defence rating (Austria Vienna / Rapid Vienna)
1.10 / 0.73

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.8% 5.2% 8.0% 7.3% 9.6% 1 1.8% 7.2% 8.9% 8.1% 10.6% 2 1.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.5% 5.9% 3 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 4+ 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8%

Rows: Austria Vienna goals. Columns: Rapid Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 74%
Over 3.5 53%
Both teams to score
63%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Austria Vienna19%5.38
Draw22%4.60
Rapid Vienna60%1.68
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574%1.35
Under 2.526%3.83
Both teams to scoreYes63%1.58
No37%2.73
Double chance1X (Austria Vienna or draw)40%2.48
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Rapid Vienna)81%1.23
Handicap -1Rapid Vienna win by 2+51%1.97
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna recent form

Austria Vienna 1W 2D 3L
Rapid Vienna 6W 0D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Austria Vienna at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapid Vienna away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Austria Vienna at home only, Rapid Vienna away only.

Expected lineups

Austria Vienna lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 S. Şahin-Radlinger
  2. 17 Lee Tae-Seok
  3. 15 A. Dragović
  4. 46 J. Handl
  5. 26 R. Ranftl
  6. 7 V. Markovic
  7. 2 W. Vorsager
  8. 5 V. Müller
  9. 10 S. Saljic
  10. 19 J. Eggestein
  11. 30 M. Fischer

Bench: Philipp Maybach, K. Boateng, J. Hettwer, Matteo Schablas, F. Wustinger, P. Wiesinger, Daniel Nnodim, V. Toifl, M. Kos

Rapid Vienna lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 N. Hedl
  2. 38 J. Horn
  3. 6 S. Raux-Yao
  4. 55 N. Cvetković
  5. 77 B. Bolla
  6. 18 M. Seidl
  7. 30 N. Bajlicz
  8. 10 P. Dahl
  9. 8 T. Adamsen
  10. 22 Y. Demir
  11. 9 E. Kara

Bench: M. Tilio, Nikolaus Wurmbrand, K. Ahoussou, L. Schaub, J. Auer, P. Gartler, M. Haïdara, F. Demir, C. M'Buyi

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Austria Vienna 4 · draws 2 · Rapid Vienna 4.

Austria ViennaDrawsRapid Vienna
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-10Rapid Vienna0-2Austria ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2026-04-12Austria Vienna1-1Rapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2026-02-15Austria Vienna2-0Rapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2025-09-28Rapid Vienna1-3Austria ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2025-05-11Austria Vienna1-2Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2025-04-13Rapid Vienna2-0Austria ViennaBundesliga
2025-02-16Austria Vienna2-1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2024-09-22Rapid Vienna2-1Austria ViennaBundesliga
2024-02-25Rapid Vienna3-0Austria ViennaBundesliga
2023-10-01Austria Vienna0-0Rapid ViennaBundesliga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match