Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 11

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens

· Raiffeisen Arena, Linz· Referee Christian-Petru Ciochirca

Full time2 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Lask Linz to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Lask LinzDrawWSG Wattens

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLask LinzDrawWSG Wattens
Model47%20%33%
Market70%17%12%
Published65%18%18%
Edge-6%+1%+5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.57 vs 2.18.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 18 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 1.33Now 1.33 -0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Lask Linz1.331.33-0.00
Draw5.205.45+0.25
WSG Wattens7.577.50-0.07

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Lask Linz and WSG Wattens expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.57Lask Linz
2.18WSG Wattens
Total expected goals
4.75
Attack rating (Lask Linz / WSG Wattens)
1.72 / 1.14
Defence rating (Lask Linz / WSG Wattens)
1.49 / 0.97

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 1.3% 1 1.7% 5.3% 5.3% 3.8% 3.5% 2 2.9% 6.2% 6.8% 4.9% 4.5% 3 2.5% 5.3% 5.8% 4.2% 3.8% 4+ 2.9% 6.4% 6.9% 5.0% 4.5%

Rows: Lask Linz goals. Columns: WSG Wattens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 85%
Over 3.5 70%
Both teams to score
82%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Lask Linz65%1.55
Draw18%5.63
WSG Wattens18%5.66
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585%1.17
Under 2.515%6.76
Both teams to scoreYes82%1.21
No18%5.66
Double chance1X (Lask Linz or draw)82%1.21
12 (either side)82%1.22
X2 (draw or WSG Wattens)35%2.82
Handicap -1Lask Linz win by 2+30%3.36
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Lask Linz and WSG Wattens recent form

Lask Linz 3W 0D 3L
WSG Wattens 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Lask Linz at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.20
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

WSG Wattens away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Lask Linz at home only, WSG Wattens away only.

Expected lineups

Lask Linz lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 1 L. Jungwirth
  2. 6 M. Bogarde
  3. 16 A. Andrade
  4. 43 Alemão
  5. 4 X. Mbuyamba
  6. 29 F. Flecker
  7. 23 Daniel Elfadli
  8. 10 R. Ljubičić
  9. 18 A. Schöpf
  10. 7 S. Adeniran
  11. 27 C. Lang

Bench: M. Freckleton, A. Smakaj, M. Usor, K. Jørgensen, M. Verhaeghe, Y. Dibango, S. Horvath, T. Schützenauer, N. Kane

WSG Wattens lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 S. Hamzić
  2. 28 M. Oswald
  3. 14 D. Kubatta
  4. 23 M. Boras
  5. 5 D. Murray
  6. 30 M. Taferner
  7. 6 Marc Striednig
  8. 11 M. Şatin
  9. 36 T. Goiginger
  10. 37 M. Wels
  11. 10 T. Sabitzer

Bench: D. Gugganig, N. Frederiksen, A. Eckmayr, L. Hinterseer, M. Olakigbe, H. Balić, D. Jaunegg, Raphael Gschösser, N. Čelić

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Lask Linz 7 · draws 1 · WSG Wattens 2.

Lask LinzDrawsWSG Wattens
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-07Lask Linz1-0WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-10WSG Wattens3-1Lask LinzAustria Bundesliga
2025-05-03WSG Wattens1-3Lask LinzBundesliga
2025-04-18Lask Linz2-0WSG WattensBundesliga
2025-03-09Lask Linz2-1WSG WattensBundesliga
2024-10-20WSG Wattens1-2Lask LinzBundesliga
2023-11-25Lask Linz1-0WSG WattensBundesliga
2023-08-19WSG Wattens1-1Lask LinzBundesliga
2023-03-05WSG Wattens2-3Lask LinzBundesliga
2022-09-17Lask Linz1-4WSG WattensBundesliga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match