Updated

Switzerland Super League · Matchday 10

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893

· Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz· Referee Alessandro Dudic

Full time3 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was FC Vaduz to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC VaduzDrawFC Basel 1893

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC VaduzDrawFC Basel 1893
Model48%20%32%
Market36%23%40%
Published39%23%38%
Edge+3%-1%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 2.01.
  • The market prices FC Vaduz below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC Vaduz, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 2.55Now 2.56 +0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC Vaduz2.552.56+0.01
Draw4.003.98-0.02
FC Basel 18932.302.30+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.46FC Vaduz
2.01FC Basel 1893
Total expected goals
4.47
Attack rating (FC Vaduz / FC Basel 1893)
1.13 / 1.13
Defence rating (FC Vaduz / FC Basel 1893)
1.12 / 1.20

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1 2.3% 6.2% 5.7% 3.8% 3.0% 2 3.5% 7.0% 7.0% 4.7% 3.7% 3 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 3.1% 4+ 3.1% 6.3% 6.3% 4.2% 3.4%

Rows: FC Vaduz goals. Columns: FC Basel 1893 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 94%
Over 2.5 82%
Over 3.5 65%
Both teams to score
80%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC Vaduz39%2.55
Draw23%4.43
FC Basel 189338%2.62
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582%1.22
Under 2.518%5.63
Both teams to scoreYes80%1.25
No20%4.93
Double chance1X (FC Vaduz or draw)62%1.62
12 (either side)77%1.29
X2 (draw or FC Basel 1893)61%1.65
Handicap -1FC Vaduz win by 2+30%3.33
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 recent form

FC Vaduz 2W 0D 4L
FC Basel 1893 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC Vaduz at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.75
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Basel 1893 away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: FC Vaduz at home only, FC Basel 1893 away only.

Expected lineups

FC Vaduz lineup · 4-1-2-1-2

  1. 25 L. Schaffran
  2. 7 D. Schwizer
  3. 5 L. Berisha
  4. 6 D. Simani
  5. 4 N. Hasler
  6. 20 L. Mack
  7. 10 Juan Cabrera
  8. 17 J. Stark
  9. 28 M. Ćoćić
  10. 9 M. Monsberger
  11. 11 L. Dalipi

Bench: B. Büchel, M. Beeli, D. Kasper, D. Djokic, M. Hammerich, N. Lang, M. Sawadogo, Mattia Walker

FC Basel 1893 lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 J. Omlin
  2. 29 M. Cissé
  3. 24 F. Daniliuc
  4. 4 B. Omeragić
  5. 22 C. Michelin
  6. 44 J. Harder
  7. 5 Metinho
  8. 11 K. Olaigbe
  9. 10 X. Shaqiri
  10. 7 P. Otele
  11. 9 Ž. Celar

Bench: N. Vouilloz, K. Tsunemoto, L. Małachowski Thorell, M. Salvi, A. Malouda, K. Rüegg, G. Koloto, J. Doucoure, A. Victory

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: FC Vaduz 2 · draws 4 · FC Basel 1893 4.

FC VaduzDrawsFC Basel 1893
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-26FC Basel 18932-5FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
2023-07-08FC Vaduz1-2FC Basel 1893Friendlies Clubs
2021-04-21FC Vaduz1-1FC Basel 1893Super League
2021-04-05FC Basel 18931-2FC VaduzSuper League
2020-12-12FC Vaduz0-2FC Basel 1893Super League
2020-09-20FC Basel 18932-2FC VaduzSuper League
2017-04-22FC Basel 18932-2FC VaduzSuper League
2017-03-05FC Vaduz1-1FC Basel 1893Super League
2016-11-19FC Basel 18936-0FC VaduzSuper League
2016-07-31FC Vaduz1-5FC Basel 1893Super League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match