Servette FC vs FC Vaduz: model vs market
| Source | Servette FC | Draw | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 25% |
| Published | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Servette FC, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Servette FC | 1.75 | 1.83 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.00 | -0.10 |
| FC Vaduz | 3.93 | 3.80 | -0.13 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Servette FC and FC Vaduz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.66
- Attack rating (Servette FC / FC Vaduz)
- 1.27 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Servette FC / FC Vaduz)
- 0.71 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Servette FC goals. Columns: FC Vaduz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Servette FC vs FC Vaduz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | |
| FC Vaduz | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.48 |
| No | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Servette FC or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Vaduz) | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Servette FC win by 2+ | 38% | 2.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Servette FC and FC Vaduz recent form
Servette FC
4W 0D 2L
FC Vaduz
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Servette FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
FC Vaduz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Servette FC at home only, FC Vaduz away only.
Expected lineups
Servette FC lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 E. Gertmonas
- 18 B. Mazikou
- 4 S. Rouiller
- 15 M. Burch
- 17 Houboulang Mendes
- 20 Jarell Njike Simo
- 6 Pedro Naressi
- 21 J. Karlsson
- 36 Thomas Lopes
- 22 M. Lambourde
- 7 K. Mutandwa
Bench: L. Njoh, Q. Maceiras, D. Douline, T. Allix, A. Vincent, T. Ouattara, L. Besson, S. Mráz
FC Vaduz lineup · 4-1-2-1-2
- 25 L. Schaffran
- 7 D. Schwizer
- 5 L. Berisha
- 27 N. Lang
- 4 N. Hasler
- 20 L. Mack
- 10 Juan Cabrera
- 17 J. Stark
- 28 M. Ćoćić
- 9 M. Monsberger
- 11 L. Dalipi
Bench: B. Büchel, M. Beeli, D. Kasper, D. Djokic, M. Eberhard, M. Hammerich, M. Sawadogo, Mattia Walker, L. Celentano
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Servette FC 5 · draws 1 · FC Vaduz 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-15 | FC Vaduz | 1-3 | Servette FC | Super League |
| 2021-03-21 | Servette FC | 1-2 | FC Vaduz | Super League |
| 2020-12-23 | Servette FC | 1-1 | FC Vaduz | Super League |
| 2020-12-09 | FC Vaduz | 0-2 | Servette FC | Super League |
| 2019-05-23 | FC Vaduz | 1-5 | Servette FC | Challenge League |
| 2019-02-02 | Servette FC | 2-0 | FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| 2018-11-24 | Servette FC | 4-1 | FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| 2018-08-12 | FC Vaduz | 1-0 | Servette FC | Challenge League |
| 2018-05-05 | Servette FC | 0-1 | FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| 2018-03-05 | FC Vaduz | 2-1 | Servette FC | Challenge League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Zurich v FC Luzern — match page 2026-10-24
- BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Thun vs FC Lugano — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FC Basel 1893 v Grasshoppers — match page 2026-10-25
- FC Sion vs Lausanne 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Servette FC, previous: Servette FC vs FC Sion prediction
- Servette FC, next: FC ST. Gallen v Servette FC analysis
- FC Vaduz, previous: FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893: odds and pick
- FC Vaduz, next: Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz: odds and pick