Updated

Switzerland Super League · Matchday 10

FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne

· Kybunpark, St.Gallen· Referee Huseyin Sanli

Full time1 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was FC ST. Gallen to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC ST. GallenDrawLausanne

FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC ST. GallenDrawLausanne
Model51%24%25%
Market64%20%16%
Published61%21%18%
Edge-3%+1%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.34.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC ST. Gallen, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 1.50Now 1.46 -0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC ST. Gallen1.501.46-0.05
Draw4.604.70+0.10
Lausanne5.095.83+0.73

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC ST. Gallen and Lausanne expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.98FC ST. Gallen
1.34Lausanne
Total expected goals
3.32
Attack rating (FC ST. Gallen / Lausanne)
1.05 / 0.73
Defence rating (FC ST. Gallen / Lausanne)
1.15 / 1.04

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.6% 3.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.7% 1 6.2% 10.6% 6.4% 2.9% 1.3% 2 7.1% 9.5% 6.4% 2.8% 1.3% 3 4.7% 6.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.8% 4+ 3.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.7%

Rows: FC ST. Gallen goals. Columns: Lausanne goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 64%
Over 3.5 42%
Both teams to score
64%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC ST. Gallen61%1.64
Draw21%4.80
Lausanne18%5.49
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564%1.55
Under 2.536%2.81
Both teams to scoreYes64%1.55
No36%2.82
Double chance1X (FC ST. Gallen or draw)82%1.22
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or Lausanne)39%2.56
Handicap -1FC ST. Gallen win by 2+30%3.30
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

FC ST. Gallen and Lausanne recent form

FC ST. Gallen 2W 0D 4L
Lausanne 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC ST. Gallen at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Lausanne away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: FC ST. Gallen at home only, Lausanne away only.

Expected lineups

FC ST. Gallen lineup · 3-1-4-2

  1. 1 L. Zigi
  2. 68 M. Heydari
  3. 4 J. Stanić
  4. 26 T. Gaal
  5. 64 M. Stevanovic
  6. 28 H. Vandermersch
  7. 10 L. Daschner
  8. 16 L. Görtler
  9. 7 C. Witzig
  10. 14 A. Balde
  11. 9 A. Hunziker

Bench: B. Neziri, C. Boukhalfa, L. Frokaj, B. Fazliji, L. Watkowiak, K. Csoboth, E. Owusu, N. Scherrer, J. Ruiz

Lausanne lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 90 M. Mastil
  2. 5 D. Ngonzo
  3. 31 N. Cozza
  4. 4 É. Youté
  5. 18 M. Poaty
  6. 91 F. Mollet
  7. 29 A. Blin
  8. 2 B. Soppy
  9. 77 L. Nene
  10. 7 A. Ajdini
  11. 11 N. Butler-Oyedeji

Bench: T. Castella, E. Molébé, O. Custodio, S. Traore, Papa Souleymane N'Diaye, I. Bah Mendes Mayala, Omar Janneh

FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: FC ST. Gallen 7 · draws 2 · Lausanne 1.

FC ST. GallenDrawsLausanne
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-08Lausanne1-1FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League
2025-11-23FC ST. Gallen1-0LausanneSwitzerland Super League
2025-08-31Lausanne1-2FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League
2025-03-15FC ST. Gallen0-2LausanneSuper League
2025-01-26FC ST. Gallen3-2LausanneSuper League
2024-08-04Lausanne3-4FC ST. GallenSuper League
2024-04-04Lausanne3-3FC ST. GallenSuper League
2024-01-20Lausanne0-1FC ST. GallenSuper League
2023-09-02FC ST. Gallen2-1LausanneSuper League
2022-05-22FC ST. Gallen4-0LausanneSuper League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match