Updated

Switzerland Super League · Matchday 10

Servette FC vs FC Sion

· Stade de Geneve, Geneva· Referee Fedayi San

Full time3 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was FC Sion to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 2

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Servette FCDrawFC Sion

Servette FC vs FC Sion: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceServette FCDrawFC Sion
Model40%22%38%
Market36%25%39%
Published37%24%39%
Edge+1%-1%0%
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Servette FC vs FC Sion odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC Sion, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 2.40Now 2.39 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Servette FC2.522.60+0.08
Draw3.743.73-0.02
FC Sion2.402.39-0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Servette FC and FC Sion expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.07Servette FC
2.00FC Sion
Total expected goals
4.07
Attack rating (Servette FC / FC Sion)
1.14 / 1.47
Defence rating (Servette FC / FC Sion)
0.85 / 1.02

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Servette FC vs FC Sion score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.4% 2.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1 2.8% 7.8% 7.1% 4.7% 3.7% 2 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.9% 3.8% 3 2.5% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 2.7% 4+ 2.1% 4.2% 4.2% 2.8% 2.2%

Rows: Servette FC goals. Columns: FC Sion goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Servette FC vs FC Sion goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 77%
Over 3.5 58%
Both teams to score
76%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Servette FC vs FC Sion

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Servette FC37%2.70
Draw24%4.12
FC Sion39%2.58
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577%1.30
Under 2.523%4.38
Both teams to scoreYes76%1.31
No24%4.21
Double chance1X (Servette FC or draw)61%1.63
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or FC Sion)63%1.59
Handicap -1FC Sion win by 2+21%4.79
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Servette FC and FC Sion recent form

Servette FC 2W 1D 3L
FC Sion 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Servette FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Sion away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Servette FC at home only, FC Sion away only.

Expected lineups

Servette FC lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 E. Gertmonas
  2. 18 B. Mazikou
  3. 15 M. Burch
  4. 4 S. Rouiller
  5. 17 Houboulang Mendes
  6. 20 Jarell Njike Simo
  7. 6 Pedro Naressi
  8. 21 J. Karlsson
  9. 36 Thomas Lopes
  10. 22 M. Lambourde
  11. 7 K. Mutandwa

Bench: L. Njoh, Q. Maceiras, D. Douline, T. Allix, A. Vincent, T. Nunez, T. Ouattara, L. Besson, S. Mráz

FC Sion lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 A. Racioppi
  2. 6 Marquinhos Cipriano
  3. 17 J. Kronig
  4. 5 N. Sow
  5. 14 N. Lavanchy
  6. 8 Baltazar Costa
  7. 88 A. Kabacalman
  8. 21 L. Chipperfield
  9. 19 F. Surdez
  10. 13 Winsley Boteli Mokango
  11. 7 I. Chouaref

Bench: J. Lukembila, B. Kololli, F. Ruberto, N. Hefti, A. Llukes, T. Berdayes, R. Nivokazi, R. Kessler, L. Villa

Servette FC vs FC Sion head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Servette FC 3 · draws 7 · FC Sion 0.

Servette FCDrawsFC Sion
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-28Servette FC0-0FC SionSwitzerland Super League
2026-01-31Servette FC3-3FC SionSwitzerland Super League
2025-09-17FC Sion0-2Servette FCSwitzerland Super League
2025-04-13FC Sion1-1Servette FCSuper League
2025-02-04FC Sion3-3Servette FCSuper League
2024-10-19Servette FC3-0FC SionSuper League
2023-05-13Servette FC5-0FC SionSuper League
2023-04-08FC Sion2-2Servette FCSuper League
2023-01-29Servette FC2-2FC SionSuper League
2022-07-30FC Sion0-0Servette FCSuper League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match