Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 8

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna

· Raiffeisen Arena, Linz· Referee Arnes Talic

Full time0 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was Lask Linz to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Lask LinzDrawRapid Vienna

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLask LinzDrawRapid Vienna
Model42%20%38%
Market51%24%25%
Published49%23%28%
Edge-2%-1%+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 47 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 1.80Now 1.85 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Lask Linz1.801.85+0.05
Draw3.803.90+0.10
Rapid Vienna3.803.71-0.09

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.35Lask Linz
2.22Rapid Vienna
Total expected goals
4.57
Attack rating (Lask Linz / Rapid Vienna)
1.78 / 1.91
Defence rating (Lask Linz / Rapid Vienna)
0.92 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1 1.9% 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 4.1% 2 2.9% 6.4% 7.1% 5.2% 4.8% 3 2.2% 5.0% 5.5% 4.1% 3.8% 4+ 2.3% 5.1% 5.6% 4.2% 3.9%

Rows: Lask Linz goals. Columns: Rapid Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 83%
Over 3.5 67%
Both teams to score
81%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Lask Linz49%2.06
Draw23%4.33
Rapid Vienna28%3.52
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584%1.20
Under 2.516%6.09
Both teams to scoreYes81%1.23
No19%5.36
Double chance1X (Lask Linz or draw)72%1.40
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Rapid Vienna)51%1.94
Handicap -1Lask Linz win by 2+25%3.95
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna recent form

Lask Linz 3W 1D 2L
Rapid Vienna 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Lask Linz at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.33
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapid Vienna away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Lask Linz at home only, Rapid Vienna away only.

Expected lineups

Lask Linz lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 1 L. Jungwirth
  2. 2 G. Bello
  3. 16 A. Andrade
  4. 43 Alemão
  5. 4 X. Mbuyamba
  6. 20 K. Jørgensen
  7. 30 S. Horvath
  8. 10 R. Ljubičić
  9. 6 M. Bogarde
  10. 27 C. Lang
  11. 11 S. Kalajdzic

Bench: M. Freckleton, S. Adeniran, M. Usor, K. Daněk, A. Schöpf, Daniel Elfadli, Y. Dibango, F. Flecker, T. Schützenauer

Rapid Vienna lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 N. Hedl
  2. 38 J. Horn
  3. 6 S. Raux-Yao
  4. 55 N. Cvetković
  5. 77 B. Bolla
  6. 18 M. Seidl
  7. 30 N. Bajlicz
  8. 10 P. Dahl
  9. 8 T. Adamsen
  10. 22 Y. Demir
  11. 9 E. Kara

Bench: Eaden Roka, M. Tilio, Nikolaus Wurmbrand, K. Ahoussou, L. Schaub, P. Gartler, M. Haïdara, F. Demir, C. M'Buyi

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Lask Linz 6 · draws 2 · Rapid Vienna 2.

Lask LinzDrawsRapid Vienna
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-04Lask Linz3-1Rapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2026-03-22Rapid Vienna4-2Lask LinzAustria Bundesliga
2025-11-30Lask Linz3-0Rapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2025-10-19Rapid Vienna0-2Lask LinzAustria Bundesliga
2025-06-01Rapid Vienna3-0Lask LinzBundesliga
2025-05-29Lask Linz3-1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2025-02-23Lask Linz2-1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2024-09-28Rapid Vienna1-1Lask LinzBundesliga
2024-04-28Lask Linz5-0Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2024-03-15Rapid Vienna0-0Lask LinzBundesliga

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match