Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 8

WSG Wattens vs Ried

· Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck· Referee Julian Weinberger

Full time1 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was Ried to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
WSG WattensDrawRied

WSG Wattens vs Ried: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceWSG WattensDrawRied
Model39%24%37%
Market35%26%38%
Published36%26%38%
Edge+1%-1%0%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

WSG Wattens vs Ried odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Ried, 45 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 2.50Now 2.44 -0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
WSG Wattens2.602.62+0.02
Draw3.403.54+0.14
Ried2.502.44-0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

WSG Wattens and Ried expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.83WSG Wattens
1.79Ried
Total expected goals
3.63
Attack rating (WSG Wattens / Ried)
1.14 / 1.38
Defence rating (WSG Wattens / Ried)
1.03 / 1.06

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

WSG Wattens vs Ried score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.5% 3.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.7% 1 4.0% 9.6% 7.8% 4.7% 3.1% 2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 2.9% 3 2.7% 4.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.8% 4+ 1.9% 3.4% 3.1% 1.8% 1.2%

Rows: WSG Wattens goals. Columns: Ried goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

WSG Wattens vs Ried goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 70%
Over 3.5 49%
Both teams to score
71%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for WSG Wattens vs Ried

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2WSG Wattens36%2.75
Draw26%3.90
Ried38%2.63
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570%1.43
Under 2.530%3.35
Both teams to scoreYes71%1.41
No29%3.44
Double chance1X (WSG Wattens or draw)62%1.61
12 (either side)74%1.34
X2 (draw or Ried)64%1.57
Handicap -1Ried win by 2+20%5.02
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

WSG Wattens and Ried recent form

WSG Wattens 3W 1D 2L
Ried 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

WSG Wattens at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ried away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: WSG Wattens at home only, Ried away only.

Expected lineups

WSG Wattens lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 S. Hamzić
  2. 28 M. Oswald
  3. 3 D. Gugganig
  4. 23 M. Boras
  5. 5 D. Murray
  6. 30 M. Taferner
  7. 6 Marc Striednig
  8. 17 M. Olakigbe
  9. 36 T. Goiginger
  10. 18 H. Balić
  11. 8 N. Frederiksen

Bench: T. Sabitzer, M. Şatin, A. Eckmayr, D. Kubatta, L. Hinterseer, D. Jaunegg, Raphael Gschösser, M. Wels, N. Čelić

Ried lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 A. Leitner
  2. 17 P. Pomer
  3. 30 O. Steurer
  4. 28 S. Chukwudi
  5. 18 F. Rossdorfer
  6. 22 S. Schwab
  7. 6 Y. Maart
  8. 11 J. Rhodes
  9. 8 M. Rasner
  10. 12 A. Bajić
  11. 47 Evan Eghosa Aisowieren

Bench: L. Malicsek, D. Radonjic, O. Sorg, J. Nasrawe, T. Lund Jensen, L. Capan, F. Wimmer, I. Kiese Thelin

WSG Wattens vs Ried head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: WSG Wattens 4 · draws 3 · Ried 2.

WSG WattensDrawsRied
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-25WSG Wattens1-0RiedAustria Bundesliga
2026-03-14Ried2-1WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2026-02-22WSG Wattens1-1RiedAustria Bundesliga
2025-10-04Ried2-0WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2023-05-12WSG Wattens1-1RiedBundesliga
2023-04-14Ried1-1WSG WattensBundesliga
2022-11-12WSG Wattens2-0RiedBundesliga
2022-08-21Ried1-2WSG WattensBundesliga
2022-04-23WSG Wattens2-0RiedBundesliga

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match