SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC: model vs market
| Source | SCR Altach | Draw | Wolfsberger AC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Published | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SCR Altach, 47 snapshots since 2026-09-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 2.14 | 1.95 | -0.19 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.70 | +0.20 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 3.10 | 3.46 | +0.36 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.34
- Attack rating (SCR Altach / Wolfsberger AC)
- 1.05 / 0.99
- Defence rating (SCR Altach / Wolfsberger AC)
- 1.12 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SCR Altach goals. Columns: Wolfsberger AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SCR Altach | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Wolfsberger AC | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SCR Altach or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Wolfsberger AC) | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | SCR Altach win by 2+ | 29% | 3.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SCR Altach at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Wolfsberger AC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: SCR Altach at home only, Wolfsberger AC away only.
Expected lineups
SCR Altach lineup · 3-4-3
- 1 D. Stojanovic
- 17 L. Jäger
- 23 B. Zech
- 27 Filip Milojevic
- 37 B. Böckle
- 8 M. Bähre
- 39 R. Elongo-Yombo
- 29 N. Niehoff
- 18 P. Greil
- 10 O. Diawara
- 28 Y. Massombo
Bench: V. Demaku, D. Cosgun, J. Naschberger, R. Rahmani, S. Hrstić, Jakob Brandtner, Y. Eisschill, D. Antosch, A. Vonbrul
Wolfsberger AC lineup · 3-4-2-1
- 1 L. Gütlbauer
- 8 S. Piesinger
- 15 Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté
- 6 R. Behounek
- 77 R. Renner
- 36 D. Fitz
- 30 M. Sulzner
- 31 F. Wohlmuth
- 10 D. Avdijaj
- 20 T. Schriebl
- 23 P. Verhounig
Bench: G. Vrioni, A. Schwarz, L. Gliklich, Marco Schabauer, M. Pink, Matteo Kitz, S. Karamoko
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SCR Altach 3 · draws 4 · Wolfsberger AC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | SCR Altach | 1-4 | Wolfsberger AC | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-03-21 | Wolfsberger AC | 1-1 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-22 | SCR Altach | 3-1 | Wolfsberger AC | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-02 | Wolfsberger AC | 0-2 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-24 | Wolfsberger AC | 2-0 | SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
| 2024-08-18 | SCR Altach | 2-0 | Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-04 | SCR Altach | 0-1 | Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-30 | Wolfsberger AC | 0-0 | SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-10 | Wolfsberger AC | 1-1 | SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-22 | SCR Altach | 0-0 | Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- WSG Wattens vs Ried — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg 2026-10-10
- Austria Vienna v Sturm Graz — match page 2026-10-10
- TSV Hartberg v Austria Lustenau — match page 2026-10-11
- Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna 2026-10-11
Before and after this match
- SCR Altach, next: Red Bull Salzburg v SCR Altach analysis
- Wolfsberger AC, next: Wolfsberger AC – WSG Wattens, 2026-10-18