Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 11

SCR Altach vs Ried

· Cashpoint Arena, Artach· Referee Julian Schnur

Full time1 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was SCR Altach to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
SCR AltachDrawRied

SCR Altach vs Ried: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSCR AltachDrawRied
Model54%20%26%
Market43%26%31%
Published46%24%30%
Edge+3%-2%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 1.81.
  • The market prices SCR Altach below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

SCR Altach vs Ried odds movement

Median bookmaker price on SCR Altach, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 2.31Now 2.20 -0.11
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
SCR Altach2.312.20-0.11
Draw3.513.60+0.09
Ried2.803.00+0.20

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

SCR Altach and Ried expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.58SCR Altach
1.81Ried
Total expected goals
4.39
Attack rating (SCR Altach / Ried)
1.26 / 1.58
Defence rating (SCR Altach / Ried)
0.89 / 1.33

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

SCR Altach vs Ried score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.8% 1 2.6% 6.4% 5.2% 3.2% 2.2% 2 4.1% 7.5% 6.8% 4.1% 2.8% 3 3.5% 6.4% 5.8% 3.5% 2.4% 4+ 4.2% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 2.9%

Rows: SCR Altach goals. Columns: Ried goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

SCR Altach vs Ried goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 94%
Over 2.5 81%
Over 3.5 64%
Both teams to score
78%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for SCR Altach vs Ried

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2SCR Altach46%2.20
Draw24%4.09
Ried30%3.33
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581%1.23
Under 2.519%5.37
Both teams to scoreYes78%1.28
No22%4.53
Double chance1X (SCR Altach or draw)70%1.43
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Ried)54%1.84
Handicap -1SCR Altach win by 2+35%2.83
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

SCR Altach and Ried recent form

SCR Altach 3W 0D 3L
Ried 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

SCR Altach at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Ried away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: SCR Altach at home only, Ried away only.

Expected lineups

SCR Altach lineup

  1. 37 B. Böckle
  2. 1 D. Stojanovic
  3. 27 Filip Milojevic
  4. 17 L. Jäger
  5. 8 M. Bähre
  6. 29 N. Niehoff
  7. 10 O. Diawara
  8. 16 R. Rahmani
  9. 22 Y. Eisschill
  10. 28 Y. Massombo

Bench: H. Basar, J. Naschberger, S. Hrstić, Erkin Yalcin, Jakob Brandtner, N. Helbock, E. Scherf, D. Antosch, A. Vonbrul

Ried lineup

  1. 1 A. Leitner
  2. 5 D. Radonjic
  3. 47 Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
  4. 18 F. Rossdorfer
  5. 10 J. Nasrawe
  6. 29 L. Capan
  7. 4 L. Malicsek
  8. 9 N. Sissoko
  9. 30 O. Steurer
  10. 28 S. Chukwudi
  11. 22 S. Schwab

Bench: Y. Maart, M. Rasner, J. Rhodes, H. Hankič, P. Pomer, T. Lund Jensen, T. Kusanovic

SCR Altach vs Ried head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: SCR Altach 5 · draws 2 · Ried 3.

SCR AltachDrawsRied
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-16SCR Altach2-0RiedAustria Bundesliga
2026-04-03Ried3-2SCR AltachAustria Bundesliga
2025-12-13Ried3-0SCR AltachAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-09SCR Altach1-0RiedAustria Bundesliga
2023-05-19Ried0-1SCR AltachBundesliga
2023-04-22SCR Altach1-1RiedBundesliga
2023-03-12SCR Altach1-2RiedBundesliga
2022-10-02Ried2-3SCR AltachBundesliga
2022-05-07SCR Altach1-1RiedBundesliga
2022-03-19Ried1-2SCR AltachBundesliga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match