Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 9

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens

· Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsburg· Referee Isa Simsek

Full time0 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was WSG Wattens to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Wolfsberger ACDrawWSG Wattens

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceWolfsberger ACDrawWSG Wattens
Model31%25%44%
Market37%27%35%
Published36%27%38%
Edge-2%-1%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.46.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices WSG Wattens below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens odds movement

Median bookmaker price on WSG Wattens, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-10.

Opened 2.73Now 2.65 -0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Wolfsberger AC2.342.49+0.15
Draw3.573.42-0.15
WSG Wattens2.732.65-0.08

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.46Wolfsberger AC
1.78WSG Wattens
Total expected goals
3.24
Attack rating (Wolfsberger AC / WSG Wattens)
0.91 / 1.09
Defence rating (Wolfsberger AC / WSG Wattens)
1.29 / 1.06

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 3.7% 2.5% 1 4.7% 11.2% 9.1% 5.4% 3.6% 2 4.2% 7.4% 6.6% 3.9% 2.6% 3 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 1.3% 4+ 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.6%

Rows: Wolfsberger AC goals. Columns: WSG Wattens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 63%
Over 3.5 41%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Wolfsberger AC36%2.80
Draw27%3.75
WSG Wattens38%2.66
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563%1.59
Under 2.537%2.70
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.54
No35%2.85
Double chance1X (Wolfsberger AC or draw)62%1.60
12 (either side)73%1.36
X2 (draw or WSG Wattens)64%1.56
Handicap -1WSG Wattens win by 2+24%4.10
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens recent form

Wolfsberger AC 0W 2D 4L
WSG Wattens 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Wolfsberger AC at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

WSG Wattens away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Wolfsberger AC at home only, WSG Wattens away only.

Expected lineups

Wolfsberger AC lineup · 3-4-2-1

  1. 12 L. Gliklich
  2. 15 Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté
  3. 31 F. Wohlmuth
  4. 11 A. Schwarz
  5. 34 E. Agyemang
  6. 30 M. Sulzner
  7. 23 P. Verhounig
  8. 36 D. Fitz
  9. 17 Marco Schabauer
  10. 9 G. Vrioni

Bench: L. Gütlbauer, R. Behounek, L. Hassler, D. Avdijaj, T. Schriebl, M. Pink, Matteo Kitz, S. Karamoko

WSG Wattens lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 S. Hamzić
  2. 28 M. Oswald
  3. 14 D. Kubatta
  4. 23 M. Boras
  5. 3 D. Gugganig
  6. 30 M. Taferner
  7. 6 Marc Striednig
  8. 17 M. Olakigbe
  9. 36 T. Goiginger
  10. 37 M. Wels
  11. 8 N. Frederiksen

Bench: D. Murray, T. Sabitzer, M. Şatin, A. Eckmayr, L. Hinterseer, H. Balić, D. Jaunegg, Raphael Gschösser, N. Čelić

Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Wolfsberger AC 4 · draws 4 · WSG Wattens 2.

Wolfsberger ACDrawsWSG Wattens
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-16Wolfsberger AC2-0WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2026-04-04WSG Wattens3-1Wolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga
2025-11-02Wolfsberger AC0-0WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-31WSG Wattens1-1Wolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga
2025-02-22WSG Wattens3-3Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
2024-09-29Wolfsberger AC1-3WSG WattensBundesliga
2024-05-18Wolfsberger AC3-1WSG WattensBundesliga
2024-03-16WSG Wattens1-1Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
2024-02-17Wolfsberger AC4-1WSG WattensBundesliga
2023-09-23WSG Wattens2-3Wolfsberger ACBundesliga

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match