Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 9

Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach

· Red Bull Arena, Salzburg· Referee Alain Sadikovski

Full time3 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Red Bull Salzburg to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSCR Altach

Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRed Bull SalzburgDrawSCR Altach
Model57%24%19%
Market68%19%13%
Published65%20%15%
Edge-3%+1%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.06.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Red Bull Salzburg, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-10.

Opened 1.31Now 1.38 +0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Red Bull Salzburg1.311.38+0.06
Draw5.304.85-0.45
SCR Altach8.037.25-0.78

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.93Red Bull Salzburg
1.06SCR Altach
Total expected goals
2.99
Attack rating (Red Bull Salzburg / SCR Altach)
1.24 / 1.16
Defence rating (Red Bull Salzburg / SCR Altach)
0.72 / 1.03

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.1% 4.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 1 8.7% 11.3% 5.4% 1.9% 0.6% 2 9.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6% 3 6.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4% 4+ 4.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%

Rows: Red Bull Salzburg goals. Columns: SCR Altach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Red Bull Salzburg65%1.54
Draw20%4.89
SCR Altach15%6.90
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.74
Under 2.543%2.35
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.76
No43%2.32
Double chance1X (Red Bull Salzburg or draw)85%1.17
12 (either side)80%1.26
X2 (draw or SCR Altach)35%2.86
Handicap -1Red Bull Salzburg win by 2+34%2.94
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach recent form

Red Bull Salzburg 3W 2D 1L
SCR Altach 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Red Bull Salzburg at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.25
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

SCR Altach away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Red Bull Salzburg at home only, SCR Altach away only.

Expected lineups

Red Bull Salzburg lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 52 Christian Zawieschitzky
  2. 31 D. Schmid
  3. 47 Valentin Zabransky
  4. 44 K. Boma
  5. 39 L. Morgalla
  6. 15 B. Mazurek
  7. 32 A. Barry
  8. 20 E. Baidoo
  9. 30 G. Diakité
  10. 35 J. Lindstrøm
  11. 9 H. Tabaković

Bench: C. Früchtl, U. Tohumcu, S. Kitano, Y. Vertessen, F. Krätzig, T. Drexler, S. Lainer, D. Redzic, A. Camara

SCR Altach lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 1 D. Stojanovic
  2. 17 L. Jäger
  3. 23 B. Zech
  4. 27 Filip Milojevic
  5. 37 B. Böckle
  6. 39 R. Elongo-Yombo
  7. 6 V. Demaku
  8. 29 N. Niehoff
  9. 18 P. Greil
  10. 10 O. Diawara
  11. 28 Y. Massombo

Bench: D. Cosgun, J. Naschberger, R. Rahmani, S. Hrstić, Jakob Brandtner, Y. Eisschill, D. Antosch, A. Vonbrul

Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Red Bull Salzburg 5 · draws 4 · SCR Altach 1.

Red Bull SalzburgDrawsSCR Altach
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-04Red Bull Salzburg0-1SCR AltachAustria Cup
2025-11-30SCR Altach1-1Red Bull SalzburgAustria Bundesliga
2025-10-19Red Bull Salzburg2-2SCR AltachAustria Bundesliga
2025-03-09SCR Altach1-1Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
2024-10-19Red Bull Salzburg2-1SCR AltachBundesliga
2023-10-28Red Bull Salzburg3-0SCR AltachBundesliga
2023-07-29SCR Altach0-2Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
2023-03-19Red Bull Salzburg1-1SCR AltachBundesliga
2022-10-08SCR Altach2-3Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
2022-03-05Red Bull Salzburg4-0SCR AltachBundesliga

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match