Updated

Switzerland Super League · Matchday 11

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen

· Kybunpark, St.Gallen· Referee Lukas Fahndrich

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was BSC Young Boys to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
BSC Young BoysDrawFC ST. Gallen

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBSC Young BoysDrawFC ST. Gallen
Model68%16%16%
Market53%22%26%
Published56%20%23%
Edge+4%-1%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.00 vs 1.49.
  • The market prices BSC Young Boys below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen odds movement

Median bookmaker price on BSC Young Boys, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-17.

Opened 1.78Now 1.79 +0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
BSC Young Boys1.781.79+0.01
Draw4.254.33+0.08
FC ST. Gallen3.803.65-0.15

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.00BSC Young Boys
1.49FC ST. Gallen
Total expected goals
4.49
Attack rating (BSC Young Boys / FC ST. Gallen)
1.81 / 1.04
Defence rating (BSC Young Boys / FC ST. Gallen)
0.91 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 1 2.9% 5.5% 3.7% 1.8% 1.0% 2 5.1% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.4% 3 5.1% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.4% 4+ 8.0% 11.9% 8.8% 4.4% 2.3%

Rows: BSC Young Boys goals. Columns: FC ST. Gallen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 94%
Over 2.5 83%
Over 3.5 66%
Both teams to score
74%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2BSC Young Boys56%1.78
Draw20%4.90
FC ST. Gallen23%4.29
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583%1.21
Under 2.517%5.72
Both teams to scoreYes74%1.35
No26%3.86
Double chance1X (BSC Young Boys or draw)77%1.30
12 (either side)80%1.26
X2 (draw or FC ST. Gallen)44%2.29
Handicap -1BSC Young Boys win by 2+49%2.04
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen recent form

BSC Young Boys 4W 2D 0L
FC ST. Gallen 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

BSC Young Boys at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
3.40
Goals against / match
2.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.

FC ST. Gallen away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.80
Goals against / match
1.80
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: BSC Young Boys at home only, FC ST. Gallen away only.

Expected lineups

BSC Young Boys lineup · 4-4-1-1

  1. 1 M. Keller
  2. 33 S. Bukinac
  3. 15 C. Zesiger
  4. 4 M. Jenz
  5. 22 I. Schmidt
  6. 12 Bahereba Guirassy
  7. 6 E. Fernandes
  8. 8 A. Gigović
  9. 16 C. Fassnacht
  10. 10 A. Sanches
  11. 99 S. Essende

Bench: G. Wüthrich, A. Virginius, K. Sène, D. Pech, S. Janko, J. Mall, S. Lauper, F. Conte, E. Etoski

FC ST. Gallen lineup · 3-1-4-2

  1. 1 L. Zigi
  2. 68 M. Heydari
  3. 4 J. Stanić
  4. 26 T. Gaal
  5. 10 L. Daschner
  6. 64 M. Stevanovic
  7. 11 C. Boukhalfa
  8. 16 L. Görtler
  9. 28 H. Vandermersch
  10. 14 A. Balde
  11. 9 A. Hunziker

Bench: C. Kleine-Bekel, L. Frokaj, B. Fazliji, L. Watkowiak, K. Csoboth, C. Okoroji, C. Konietzke, N. Scherrer, J. Ruiz

BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: BSC Young Boys 5 · draws 1 · FC ST. Gallen 4.

BSC Young BoysDrawsFC ST. Gallen
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-26BSC Young Boys1-2FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League
2026-02-11FC ST. Gallen2-1BSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League
2025-11-09FC ST. Gallen1-4BSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League
2025-10-19BSC Young Boys1-2FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League
2025-03-29BSC Young Boys1-0FC ST. GallenSuper League
2024-12-01BSC Young Boys3-1FC ST. GallenSuper League
2024-07-28FC ST. Gallen4-0BSC Young BoysSuper League
2024-05-16BSC Young Boys3-1FC ST. GallenSuper League
2024-04-07FC ST. Gallen2-2BSC Young BoysSuper League
2023-12-09BSC Young Boys3-0FC ST. GallenSuper League

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match