FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC: model vs market
| Source | FC ST. Gallen | Draw | Servette FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 23% |
| Published | 45% | 25% | 31% |
| Edge | -7% | 0% | +7% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC ST. Gallen, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC ST. Gallen | 1.75 | 1.79 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 3.84 | -0.21 |
| Servette FC | 3.99 | 4.00 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (FC ST. Gallen / Servette FC)
- 0.93 / 1.25
- Defence rating (FC ST. Gallen / Servette FC)
- 0.94 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC ST. Gallen goals. Columns: Servette FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC ST. Gallen | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Servette FC | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC ST. Gallen or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Servette FC) | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC ST. Gallen win by 2+ | 9% | 10.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC ST. Gallen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Servette FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FC ST. Gallen at home only, Servette FC away only.
Expected lineups
FC ST. Gallen lineup · 3-1-4-2
- 1 L. Zigi
- 68 M. Heydari
- 4 J. Stanić
- 26 T. Gaal
- 64 M. Stevanovic
- 36 C. Okoroji
- 10 L. Daschner
- 16 L. Görtler
- 28 H. Vandermersch
- 14 A. Balde
- 11 C. Boukhalfa
Bench: C. Kleine-Bekel, A. Hunziker, L. Frokaj, B. Fazliji, L. Watkowiak, K. Csoboth, N. Scherrer, J. Ruiz
Servette FC lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 E. Gertmonas
- 18 B. Mazikou
- 4 S. Rouiller
- 15 M. Burch
- 17 Houboulang Mendes
- 20 Jarell Njike Simo
- 6 Pedro Naressi
- 21 J. Karlsson
- 36 Thomas Lopes
- 22 M. Lambourde
- 7 K. Mutandwa
Bench: L. Njoh, Q. Maceiras, D. Douline, T. Allix, A. Vincent, T. Ouattara, L. Besson, S. Mráz
FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC ST. Gallen 3 · draws 4 · Servette FC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Servette FC | 0-2 | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-02-21 | Servette FC | 1-1 | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-01-25 | FC ST. Gallen | 2-4 | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-08-02 | Servette FC | 1-4 | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-04-06 | FC ST. Gallen | 1-0 | Servette FC | Super League |
| 2025-01-18 | Servette FC | 1-1 | FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| 2024-10-06 | FC ST. Gallen | 1-1 | Servette FC | Super League |
| 2024-05-12 | FC ST. Gallen | 1-1 | Servette FC | Super League |
| 2024-03-02 | Servette FC | 2-0 | FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| 2024-01-31 | FC ST. Gallen | 0-2 | Servette FC | Super League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FC Luzern vs FC Sion 2026-10-31
- BSC Young Boys v FC Zurich — match page 2026-11-01
- FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Lausanne vs FC Thun 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- FC ST. Gallen, previous: BSC Young Boys v FC ST. Gallen analysis
- FC ST. Gallen, next: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano: odds and pick
- Servette FC, previous: Servette FC v FC Vaduz analysis
- Servette FC, next: Servette FC v FC Zurich analysis