Servette FC vs FC Zurich preview
In the upcoming match between Servette FC and FC Zurich, the model gives Servette FC a 55% chance of winning, while both teams share a 23% probability for a draw or an FC Zurich victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Servette FC stand at 2.43, compared to FC Zurich's 1.40, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
However, recent form could challenge this prediction. Servette FC has recorded a mixed bag of results with L-W-W-W-L-W, while FC Zurich has been more consistent with W-W-L-W-D-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome despite the statistical edge for Servette FC.
Servette FC vs FC Zurich: model vs market
| Source | Servette FC | Draw | FC Zurich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Published | 55% | 23% | 23% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.40.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Servette FC vs FC Zurich odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Servette FC, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Servette FC | 1.65 | 1.75 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 4.20 | 3.90 | -0.30 |
| FC Zurich | 4.45 | 3.96 | -0.49 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Servette FC and FC Zurich expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.83
- Attack rating (Servette FC / FC Zurich)
- 1.18 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Servette FC / FC Zurich)
- 0.75 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Servette FC vs FC Zurich score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Servette FC goals. Columns: FC Zurich goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Servette FC vs FC Zurich goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Servette FC vs FC Zurich
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 | |
| FC Zurich | 23% | 4.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Servette FC or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Zurich) | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Servette FC win by 2+ | 39% | 2.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Servette FC and FC Zurich recent form
Servette FC
4W 0D 2L
FC Zurich
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Servette FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
FC Zurich away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Servette FC at home only, FC Zurich away only.
Servette FC vs FC Zurich head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Servette FC 2 · draws 1 · FC Zurich 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | FC Zurich | 2-1 | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-05-16 | FC Zurich | 0-2 | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-03-07 | Servette FC | 2-1 | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-01-18 | Servette FC | 1-1 | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Zurich | 2-1 | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Luzern v BSC Young Boys — match page 2026-11-07
- FC Vaduz vs FC Sion — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Grasshoppers vs Lausanne — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano 2026-11-08
- FC Thun v FC Basel 1893 — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Servette FC, previous: FC ST. Gallen v Servette FC analysis
- FC Zurich, previous: BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich: odds and pick