FC Vaduz vs FC Sion preview
In the upcoming fixture between FC Vaduz and FC Sion, the probabilities indicate a 30% chance for FC Vaduz to win, compared to 46% for FC Sion. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% probability. This suggests that FC Sion is favored to secure a victory, but the model's confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with 71% probability for both teams to score and for over 2.5 goals. FC Vaduz's expected goals stand at 1.75, while FC Sion's is slightly higher at 1.92. Recent form shows FC Vaduz with a mixed record of D-L-W-L-L-W, while FC Sion has been more consistent with D-W-W-L-D-W.
FC Vaduz vs FC Sion: model vs market
| Source | FC Vaduz | Draw | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| Market | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| Published | 30% | 23% | 46% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Vaduz vs FC Sion odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Sion, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vaduz | 3.22 | 3.22 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 3.98 | -0.07 |
| FC Sion | 1.95 | 1.95 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Vaduz and FC Sion expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.67
- Attack rating (FC Vaduz / FC Sion)
- 1.11 / 1.14
- Defence rating (FC Vaduz / FC Sion)
- 1.07 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Vaduz vs FC Sion score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Vaduz goals. Columns: FC Sion goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Vaduz vs FC Sion goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Vaduz vs FC Sion
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Vaduz | 30% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| FC Sion | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.40 |
| No | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Vaduz or draw) | 54% | 1.86 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Sion) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win by 2+ | 23% | 4.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
FC Vaduz and FC Sion recent form
FC Vaduz
2W 1D 3L
FC Sion
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Vaduz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
FC Sion away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Vaduz at home only, FC Sion away only.
FC Vaduz vs FC Sion head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: FC Vaduz 0 · draws 0 · FC Sion 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC Sion | 3-2 | FC Vaduz | Switzerland Super League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Luzern v BSC Young Boys — match page 2026-11-07
- Grasshoppers vs Lausanne — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano 2026-11-08
- FC Thun v FC Basel 1893 — match page 2026-11-08
- Servette FC vs FC Zurich 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- FC Vaduz, previous: Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz: odds and pick
- FC Sion, previous: FC Luzern – FC Sion, 2026-10-31