Grasshoppers vs Lausanne preview
In the upcoming fixture between Grasshoppers and Lausanne, the model gives Grasshoppers a 40% chance of winning, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at an 8% likelihood. The expected goals for Grasshoppers stand at 2.26, while Lausanne is forecasted at 1.80. This suggests a strong offensive performance from Grasshoppers.
However, Grasshoppers’ recent form shows 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches, which could impact their ability to convert their expected goals into actual results. Lausanne, despite a poor run with 4 losses in their last 5, has shown resilience in previous encounters, winning 1 of the last 5 meetings. This could lead to an unpredictable outcome.
Grasshoppers vs Lausanne: model vs market
| Source | Grasshoppers | Draw | Lausanne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Published | 40% | 25% | 34% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.80.
- The market prices Grasshoppers below our published probability: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Grasshoppers vs Lausanne odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Grasshoppers, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers | 2.45 | 2.45 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.52 | +0.02 |
| Lausanne | 2.67 | 2.61 | -0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Grasshoppers and Lausanne expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.06
- Attack rating (Grasshoppers / Lausanne)
- 1.17 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Grasshoppers / Lausanne)
- 1.08 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Grasshoppers vs Lausanne score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Grasshoppers goals. Columns: Lausanne goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Grasshoppers vs Lausanne goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Grasshoppers vs Lausanne
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grasshoppers | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Lausanne | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.32 |
| No | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Grasshoppers or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Lausanne) | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Grasshoppers win by 2+ | 29% | 3.42 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Grasshoppers and Lausanne recent form
Grasshoppers
1W 2D 3L
Lausanne
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Grasshoppers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lausanne away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Grasshoppers at home only, Lausanne away only.
Grasshoppers vs Lausanne head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Grasshoppers 2 · draws 5 · Lausanne 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Lausanne | 1-1 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-05-16 | Lausanne | 1-3 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-03-08 | Grasshoppers | 2-3 | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-01-24 | Lausanne | 1-1 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-09-14 | Grasshoppers | 3-1 | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-02-22 | Lausanne | 2-2 | Grasshoppers | Super League |
| 2025-02-04 | Grasshoppers | 2-2 | Lausanne | Super League |
| 2024-10-26 | Lausanne | 3-0 | Grasshoppers | Super League |
| 2024-05-21 | Lausanne | 0-0 | Grasshoppers | Super League |
| 2024-04-01 | Grasshoppers | 0-1 | Lausanne | Super League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Luzern v BSC Young Boys — match page 2026-11-07
- FC Vaduz vs FC Sion — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano 2026-11-08
- FC Thun v FC Basel 1893 — match page 2026-11-08
- Servette FC vs FC Zurich 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Grasshoppers, previous: Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz: odds and pick
- Lausanne, previous: Lausanne vs FC Thun prediction