Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 10

Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau

· Allianz Stadion, Vienna· Referee Walter Altmann

Full time5 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Rapid Vienna to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 3 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Rapid ViennaDrawAustria Lustenau

Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRapid ViennaDrawAustria Lustenau
Model84%10%7%
Market79%13%8%
Published80%12%7%
Edge+1%-1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.84 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rapid Vienna, 27 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 1.28Now 1.18 -0.10
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Rapid Vienna1.281.18-0.10
Draw5.507.10+1.60
Austria Lustenau8.5012.00+3.50

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rapid Vienna and Austria Lustenau expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.84Rapid Vienna
1.17Austria Lustenau
Total expected goals
5.01
Attack rating (Rapid Vienna / Austria Lustenau)
1.83 / 1.15
Defence rating (Rapid Vienna / Austria Lustenau)
0.80 / 1.37

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 1 2.3% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 2 4.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 3 6.3% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6% 4+ 16.6% 19.4% 11.3% 4.4% 1.7%

Rows: Rapid Vienna goals. Columns: Austria Lustenau goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 96%
Over 2.5 88%
Over 3.5 74%
Both teams to score
68%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Rapid Vienna80%1.25
Draw12%8.10
Austria Lustenau7%13.41
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587%1.14
Under 2.513%7.99
Both teams to scoreYes68%1.48
No32%3.10
Double chance1X (Rapid Vienna or draw)93%1.08
12 (either side)88%1.14
X2 (draw or Austria Lustenau)20%5.05
Handicap -1Rapid Vienna win by 2+69%1.44
Push (exactly one goal)14%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Rapid Vienna and Austria Lustenau recent form

Rapid Vienna 5W 0D 1L
Austria Lustenau 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Rapid Vienna at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.60
Goals against / match
0.40
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.6 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Austria Lustenau away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid Vienna at home only, Austria Lustenau away only.

Expected lineups

Rapid Vienna lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 N. Hedl
  2. 38 J. Horn
  3. 6 S. Raux-Yao
  4. 55 N. Cvetković
  5. 77 B. Bolla
  6. 18 M. Seidl
  7. 30 N. Bajlicz
  8. 10 P. Dahl
  9. 8 T. Adamsen
  10. 22 Y. Demir
  11. 9 E. Kara

Bench: Eaden Roka, M. Tilio, Nikolaus Wurmbrand, K. Ahoussou, L. Schaub, P. Gartler, M. Haïdara, F. Demir, C. M'Buyi

Austria Lustenau lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 27 D. Schierl
  2. 3 Danilo Soares
  3. 29 N. Pertlwieser
  4. 18 R. Voisine
  5. 7 F. Gmeiner
  6. 17 A. Gashi
  7. 24 S. Diarra
  8. 23 P. Grabher
  9. 20 L. Afrifa
  10. 11 D. Weixelbraun
  11. 39 A. Verinac

Bench: L. Jastremski, Alieu Conateh, P. Benjamin, L. Ibertsberger, P. Böhm, M. Maak, Frederic Flatz, Melih Akubulut, H. Ismailcebioglu

Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Rapid Vienna 1 · draws 3 · Austria Lustenau 0.

Rapid ViennaDrawsAustria Lustenau
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2024-03-03Rapid Vienna1-1Austria LustenauBundesliga
2023-10-07Austria Lustenau0-5Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2022-10-29Austria Lustenau3-3Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2022-08-07Rapid Vienna1-1Austria LustenauBundesliga

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match