Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 9

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz

· Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau· Referee Emil Ristoskov

Full time0 – 4

TipsterGrid prediction was Lask Linz to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 3

5% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Austria LustenauDrawLask Linz

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAustria LustenauDrawLask Linz
Model42%19%38%
Market12%19%69%
Published20%19%61%
Edge+7%0%-8%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-10.

Opened 1.38Now 1.37 -0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Austria Lustenau7.007.50+0.50
Draw4.724.93+0.21
Lask Linz1.381.37-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Austria Lustenau and Lask Linz expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.57Austria Lustenau
2.46Lask Linz
Total expected goals
5.03
Attack rating (Austria Lustenau / Lask Linz)
1.31 / 1.63
Defence rating (Austria Lustenau / Lask Linz)
1.20 / 1.30

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1 1.3% 4.6% 5.1% 4.2% 4.6% 2 2.2% 5.3% 6.5% 5.4% 5.9% 3 1.9% 4.6% 5.6% 4.6% 5.0% 4+ 2.2% 5.4% 6.7% 5.5% 6.0%

Rows: Austria Lustenau goals. Columns: Lask Linz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 96%
Over 2.5 88%
Over 3.5 74%
Both teams to score
85%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Austria Lustenau20%5.00
Draw19%5.26
Lask Linz61%1.64
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.588%1.14
Under 2.512%8.17
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.18
No15%6.60
Double chance1X (Austria Lustenau or draw)39%2.57
12 (either side)81%1.23
X2 (draw or Lask Linz)80%1.25
Handicap -1Lask Linz win by 2+23%4.37
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Austria Lustenau and Lask Linz recent form

Austria Lustenau 2W 1D 3L
Lask Linz 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Austria Lustenau at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lask Linz away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.25
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Austria Lustenau at home only, Lask Linz away only.

Expected lineups

Austria Lustenau lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 27 D. Schierl
  2. 18 R. Voisine
  3. 29 N. Pertlwieser
  4. 31 M. Maak
  5. 21 Anilson
  6. 8 D. Kacuri
  7. 3 Danilo Soares
  8. 10 Alieu Conateh
  9. 20 L. Afrifa
  10. 11 D. Weixelbraun
  11. 39 A. Verinac

Bench: F. Gmeiner, L. Jastremski, P. Benjamin, E. Chukwu, A. Gashi, P. Grabher, S. Diarra, L. Ibertsberger, P. Böhm

Lask Linz lineup · 3-4-1-2

  1. 1 L. Jungwirth
  2. 3 M. Freckleton
  3. 43 Alemão
  4. 23 Daniel Elfadli
  5. 25 Y. Dibango
  6. 30 S. Horvath
  7. 6 M. Bogarde
  8. 29 F. Flecker
  9. 10 R. Ljubičić
  10. 7 S. Adeniran
  11. 11 S. Kalajdzic

Bench: X. Mbuyamba, K. Daněk, A. Andrade, A. Schöpf, K. Jørgensen, M. Verhaeghe, C. Lang, T. Schützenauer, N. Kane

Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Austria Lustenau 1 · draws 2 · Lask Linz 7.

Austria LustenauDrawsLask Linz
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-12-09Austria Lustenau1-3Lask LinzBundesliga
2023-09-03Lask Linz2-0Austria LustenauBundesliga
2023-02-24Lask Linz1-0Austria LustenauBundesliga
2022-09-11Austria Lustenau1-1Lask LinzBundesliga
2017-04-14Lask Linz2-0Austria Lustenau2. Liga
2016-11-25Austria Lustenau2-4Lask Linz2. Liga
2016-09-16Lask Linz3-1Austria Lustenau2. Liga
2016-07-22Austria Lustenau1-1Lask Linz2. Liga
2016-05-06Lask Linz0-2Austria Lustenau2. Liga
2016-03-14Austria Lustenau0-2Lask Linz2. Liga

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match