Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht preview
In the Jupiler Pro League fixture between Club Brugge KV and Anderlecht, the model gives Club Brugge KV a 62% probability of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. The expected goals for Club Brugge KV stand at 2.29 compared to Anderlecht's 1.20, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
However, recent form shows Club Brugge KV on a six-match winning streak, while Anderlecht has a mixed record with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency in Anderlecht's performance could impact the outcome, despite the statistical edge held by Club Brugge KV.
Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht: model vs market
| Source | Club Brugge KV | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Published | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.54, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Club Brugge KV, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.65 | -0.05 |
| Anderlecht | 5.35 | 5.22 | -0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Club Brugge KV and Anderlecht expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.49
- Attack rating (Club Brugge KV / Anderlecht)
- 1.68 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Club Brugge KV / Anderlecht)
- 0.85 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Brugge KV goals. Columns: Anderlecht goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.93 | |
| Anderlecht | 18% | 5.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Brugge KV or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Anderlecht) | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win by 2+ | 40% | 2.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Club Brugge KV and Anderlecht recent form
Club Brugge KV
6W 0D 0L
Anderlecht
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Brugge KV at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Anderlecht away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Brugge KV at home only, Anderlecht away only.
Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Club Brugge KV 3 · draws 1 · Anderlecht 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Anderlecht | 1-3 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2026-04-06 | Club Brugge KV | 4-2 | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2026-03-08 | Club Brugge KV | 2-2 | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-11-09 | Anderlecht | 1-0 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-05-04 | Club Brugge KV | 2-1 | Anderlecht | Belgium Cup |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge 2026-11-07
- Gent v Kortrijk — match page 2026-11-08
- Union St. Gilloise vs Genk — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Club Brugge KV, previous: PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV, 2026-11-04
- Anderlecht, previous: Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: odds and pick