Standard Liege vs SK Beveren preview
In the Jupiler Pro League fixture between Standard Liege and SK Beveren, the probabilities indicate a 49% chance for Standard Liege to win, compared to 26% for SK Beveren. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, with a 9% probability. However, recent form shows Standard Liege has only 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance.
Both teams have a solid chance of scoring, with our model predicting 64% for both teams to score and 61% for over 2.5 goals. Standard Liege has an expected goals figure of 1.68, while SK Beveren sits at 1.49. The head-to-head record favors Standard Liege, with 7 wins in the last 10 encounters.
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren: model vs market
| Source | Standard Liege | Draw | SK Beveren |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Standard Liege, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.79 | 1.79 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.88 | 3.77 | -0.10 |
| SK Beveren | 3.98 | 4.00 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Standard Liege and SK Beveren expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.17
- Attack rating (Standard Liege / SK Beveren)
- 0.96 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Standard Liege / SK Beveren)
- 0.97 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Standard Liege goals. Columns: SK Beveren goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Standard Liege vs SK Beveren
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Standard Liege | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| SK Beveren | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Standard Liege or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or SK Beveren) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Standard Liege win by 2+ | 22% | 4.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Standard Liege and SK Beveren recent form
Standard Liege
1W 1D 4L
SK Beveren
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Standard Liege at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
SK Beveren away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Standard Liege at home only, SK Beveren away only.
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Standard Liege 7 · draws 1 · SK Beveren 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | SK Beveren | 1-2 | Standard Liege | Belgium Cup |
| 2021-01-11 | Standard Liege | 3-1 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2020-08-17 | SK Beveren | 1-2 | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2019-12-21 | SK Beveren | 2-1 | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2019-10-30 | Standard Liege | 2-0 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2019-03-17 | Standard Liege | 4-3 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2018-08-03 | SK Beveren | 0-0 | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2017-12-08 | SK Beveren | 3-1 | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2017-10-29 | Standard Liege | 3-1 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2017-02-12 | SK Beveren | 0-1 | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- OH Leuven v KV Mechelen — match page 2026-11-07
- Antwerp v Lommel United — match page 2026-11-07
- RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge 2026-11-07
- Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht 2026-11-08
- Gent v Kortrijk — match page 2026-11-08
- Union St. Gilloise vs Genk — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Standard Liege, previous: Standard Liege vs Kortrijk prediction
- SK Beveren, previous: SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise: odds and pick