Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz: model vs market
| Source | Grasshoppers | Draw | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| Market | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Published | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.86.
- The market prices Grasshoppers below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Grasshoppers, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers | 2.52 | 2.62 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.75 | -0.05 |
| FC Vaduz | 2.41 | 2.38 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.03
- Attack rating (Grasshoppers / FC Vaduz)
- 1.15 / 1.14
- Defence rating (Grasshoppers / FC Vaduz)
- 1.05 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Grasshoppers goals. Columns: FC Vaduz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grasshoppers | 38% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| FC Vaduz | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.32 |
| No | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Grasshoppers or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Vaduz) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Grasshoppers win by 2+ | 27% | 3.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Grasshoppers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
FC Vaduz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Grasshoppers at home only, FC Vaduz away only.
Expected lineups
Grasshoppers lineup · 3-4-1-2
- 71 J. Hammel
- 57 Nico Rissi
- 58 Yannik Bettkober
- 44 B. Pllana
- 17 S. Krasniqi
- 66 Manex Gibelalde
- 6 A. Abrashi
- 28 S. Stroscio
- 18 Lee Young-Jun
- 24 K. Goudmijn
- 10 Óscar Clemente
Bench: L. Mikulic, N. Muci, G. Morandi, J. Hilton, A. Arigoni, D. Papic, D. Sahin
FC Vaduz lineup · 4-1-2-1-2
- 25 L. Schaffran
- 7 D. Schwizer
- 5 L. Berisha
- 6 D. Simani
- 4 N. Hasler
- 17 J. Stark
- 10 Juan Cabrera
- 23 M. Hammerich
- 28 M. Ćoćić
- 9 M. Monsberger
- 11 L. Dalipi
Bench: B. Büchel, M. Beeli, D. Djokic, M. Eberhard, L. Akhalaia, C. Konietzke, N. Lang, M. Sawadogo, Mattia Walker
Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Grasshoppers 4 · draws 3 · FC Vaduz 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FC Vaduz | 5-2 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League |
| 2023-06-24 | Grasshoppers | 4-3 | FC Vaduz | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2021-11-11 | Grasshoppers | 3-1 | FC Vaduz | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2020-07-03 | FC Vaduz | 2-3 | Grasshoppers | Challenge League |
| 2020-01-31 | Grasshoppers | 1-2 | FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| 2019-10-25 | Grasshoppers | 3-3 | FC Vaduz | Challenge League |
| 2019-09-01 | FC Vaduz | 2-2 | Grasshoppers | Challenge League |
| 2017-05-06 | FC Vaduz | 2-4 | Grasshoppers | Super League |
| 2017-03-11 | Grasshoppers | 1-2 | FC Vaduz | Super League |
| 2016-11-06 | FC Vaduz | 0-0 | Grasshoppers | Super League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- FC ST. Gallen v Servette FC — match page 2026-10-31
- FC Luzern vs FC Sion 2026-10-31
- BSC Young Boys v FC Zurich — match page 2026-11-01
- FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Lausanne vs FC Thun 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Grasshoppers, previous: FC Basel 1893 – Grasshoppers, 2026-10-25
- Grasshoppers, next: Grasshoppers – Lausanne, 2026-11-07
- FC Vaduz, previous: Servette FC v FC Vaduz analysis
- FC Vaduz, next: FC Vaduz v FC Sion analysis