Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava

· Raiffeisen Arena, Linz· Referee Donatas Rumsas

Full time4 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Lask Linz to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 3 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Lask LinzDrawSlovan Bratislava

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLask LinzDrawSlovan Bratislava
Model66%17%17%
Market70%17%13%
Published69%17%14%
Edge-1%0%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 1.59.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-28.

Opened 1.44Now 1.37 -0.07
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Lask Linz1.441.37-0.07
Draw4.855.53+0.68
Slovan Bratislava6.417.25+0.84

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Lask Linz and Slovan Bratislava expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.03Lask Linz
1.59Slovan Bratislava
Total expected goals
4.63
Attack rating (Lask Linz / Slovan Bratislava)
1.47 / 0.96
Defence rating (Lask Linz / Slovan Bratislava)
1.27 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 1 2.5% 5.2% 3.8% 2.0% 1.1% 2 4.5% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.7% 3 4.6% 7.3% 5.8% 3.1% 1.7% 4+ 7.3% 11.7% 9.3% 4.9% 2.8%

Rows: Lask Linz goals. Columns: Slovan Bratislava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 84%
Over 3.5 68%
Both teams to score
76%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Lask Linz69%1.45
Draw17%5.85
Slovan Bratislava14%7.06
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584%1.19
Under 2.516%6.22
Both teams to scoreYes76%1.31
No24%4.21
Double chance1X (Lask Linz or draw)86%1.17
12 (either side)83%1.21
X2 (draw or Slovan Bratislava)31%3.20
Handicap -1Lask Linz win by 2+48%2.09
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Lask Linz and Slovan Bratislava recent form

Lask Linz 4W 0D 2L
Slovan Bratislava 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Lask Linz at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
4.00
Goals against / match
3.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slovan Bratislava away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
2.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Lask Linz at home only, Slovan Bratislava away only.

Injuries & availability

Lask Linz absences

  • A. Smakaj off the roster
  • G. Bello muscle injury
  • K. Cheikne off the roster
  • R. Harakate knee injury

Slovan Bratislava absences

  • A. Griger off the roster
  • A. Yirajang injury
  • M. Kianga off the roster
  • M. Kukharevych injury
  • R. Cerepkai back injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Lask Linz lineup · 3-5-2

  1. 1 L. Jungwirth
  2. 16 A. Andrade
  3. 43 Alemão
  4. 4 X. Mbuyamba
  5. 25 Y. Dibango
  6. 10 R. Ljubičić
  7. 6 M. Bogarde
  8. 30 S. Horvath
  9. 20 K. Jørgensen
  10. 7 S. Adeniran
  11. 8 M. Usor

Bench: M. Freckleton, K. Daněk, S. Kalajdzic, A. Schöpf, M. Verhaeghe, Daniel Elfadli, C. Lang, F. Flecker, T. Schützenauer, N. Kane, Fabian Schillinger

Slovan Bratislava lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 A. Popović
  2. 2 S. Kozlovský
  3. 6 K. Wimmer
  4. 15 S. Marković
  5. 49 S. Camara
  6. 20 A. Mustafić
  7. 70 Cristian Jesús Martínez
  8. 28 C. Blackman
  9. 21 Suleiman Camara
  10. 99 A. Šporar
  11. 29 A. Maroš

Bench: P. Pokorný, R. Ibrahim, L. Hofstadter, A. Gajdoš, N. Marcelli, T. Barseghyan, K. Bajrič, R. Tománek, M. Macík, Sandro Cruz, D. Takáč, D. Matsuoka

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